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GRND3.SA$3.96-2.70%
Fair $3.96+0.0%

GRND3.SA

Grendene S.A.

Consumer Cyclical / Footwear & AccessoriesSão Paulo

$3.96

-0.11 (-2.70%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.96Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 2/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $515.4M · quality 77.3/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 75/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · GRND3.SALocal privado en este navegador · Grendene S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.6B

P/E

5.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.5x

↓

ROE

20.4%

↑

Gross Margin

40.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.02

↓
52-Week Range$4
$4$6

TradingView lightweight chart

GRND3.SA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.960Periodo +2.6%
Fair value: $3.960

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+0.8%

FCF CAGR

+5.1%

FCF margin

17.6%

FCF / Net income

0.65x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.40B · net income $644.8M · FCF $421.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

40.9%+5.3% pts

Operating margin

11.2%+0.2% pts

Net margin

26.9%+2.6% pts

FCF margin

17.6%+2.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.40B$2.40B$2.43B$2.23B$2.34B
Net Income$644.8M$644.8M$735.2M$557.7M$568.0M
EBITDA$793.1M$793.1M$907.2M$696.9M$677.8M
EPS0.710.710.810.620.63
Gross Margin40.9%40.9%42.8%39.6%35.6%
Operating Margin11.2%11.2%21.4%15.1%11.0%
Net Margin26.9%26.9%30.3%25.0%24.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.020.020.020.030.03
Current Ratio2.052.05———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$421.3M$421.3M$515.4M$613.8M$362.9M
Returns
ROE20.4%20.4%18.2%15.2%13.0%
Valuation
P/E5.665.666.3611.109.87
EV/EBITDA4.504.505.178.948.30
P/B1.131.131.161.691.28
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-1.3%-1.3%8.6%-4.4%—
EPS Growth-12.3%-12.3%31.8%-1.8%—
Dividend Yield29.1%29.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-21.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.35

Spread vs growth

8.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-9.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.43

Spread vs growth

-2.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-0.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.68

Spread vs growth

-11.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +2.9%

Total return

+2.9%

Start / end P/E

6.6x → 5.5x

EPS bridge

0.81 → 0.71

Residual

+2.0%

EPS growth-12.3%
Multiple rerating-15.9%
Dividend+29.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+2.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.