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GRNT$5.05+3.91%
Fair $5.05+0.0%

GRNT

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc.

Energy / Oil & Gas E&PNYSE

$5.05

+0.19 (+3.91%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5.05Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 37/D
F-Score: 6/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-71.3M · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 2/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

37/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 4.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · GRNTLocal privado en este navegador · Granite Ridge Resources, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$666M

P/E

28.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

3.8x

↓

ROE

4.0%

↑

Gross Margin

27.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.64

↑
52-Week Range$5
$4$7

TradingView lightweight chart

GRNT price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5.050Periodo -49.2%
Fair value: $5.050

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-3.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-27.3%

FCF / Net income

-5.04x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $450.3M · net income $24.4M · FCF $-122.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

27.1%-36.5% pts

Operating margin

20.2%-40.5% pts

Net margin

5.4%-47.3% pts

FCF margin

-27.3%-49.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$450.3M$450.3M$380.0M$394.1M$497.4M
Net Income$24.4M$24.4M$18.8M$81.1M$262.3M
EBITDA$273.3M$273.3M$220.0M$271.6M$382.9M
EPS0.180.180.140.611.97
Gross Margin27.1%27.1%31.6%36.8%63.6%
Operating Margin20.2%20.2%25.2%29.7%60.7%
Net Margin5.4%5.4%4.9%20.6%52.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.640.640.320.16—
Current Ratio0.930.93———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-122.8M$-122.8M$-71.3M$-56.3M$111.7M
Returns
ROE4.0%4.0%3.0%12.1%39.5%
Valuation
P/E28.0628.0647.649.544.61
EV/EBITDA3.773.774.843.223.03
P/B1.091.091.371.151.82
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth18.5%18.5%-3.6%-20.8%—
EPS Growth28.6%28.6%-77.0%-69.0%—
Dividend Yield8.7%8.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

35.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.45

Spread vs growth

-7.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

24.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.54

Spread vs growth

3.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

17.1%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.87

Spread vs growth

11.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -1.4%

Total return

-1.4%

Start / end P/E

40.1x → 28.1x

EPS bridge

0.14 → 0.18

Residual

-8.6%

EPS growth+28.6%
Multiple rerating-30.1%
Dividend+8.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-8.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.