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v0.1
GRSEL.IS$318.75+0.71%
Fair $318.75+0.0%

GRSEL.IS

Gür-Sel Turizm Tasimacilik ve Servis Ticaret A.S.

Industrials / RailroadsIstanbul

$318.75

+2.25 (+0.71%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $318.75Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 60/B
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-46.4M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 12/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

60/100

B

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · GRSEL.ISLocal privado en este navegador · Gür-Sel Turizm Tasimacilik ve Servis Ticaret A.S.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$32.5B

P/E

16.4x

↓

EV/EBITDA

11.6x

↑

ROE

27.2%

↑

Gross Margin

29.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.08

↓
52-Week Range$319
$231$402

TradingView lightweight chart

GRSEL.IS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $318.75Periodo +3414.3%
Fair value: $318.75

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+136.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

13.5%

FCF / Net income

0.68x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $8.33B · net income $1.65B · FCF $1.12B

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

29.6%+13.7% pts

Operating margin

26.5%+14.9% pts

Net margin

19.8%+9.1% pts

FCF margin

13.5%+16.8% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$8.33B$8.33B$6.50B$3.01B$633.5M
Net Income$1.65B$1.65B$1.56B$281.5M$68.1M
EBITDA$2.72B$2.72B$2.01B$653.2M$125.7M
EPS16.1816.1815.342.760.67
Gross Margin29.6%29.6%25.0%17.7%15.9%
Operating Margin26.5%26.5%20.2%14.2%11.6%
Net Margin19.8%19.8%24.1%9.4%10.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.080.080.230.220.36
Current Ratio2.222.22———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.12B$1.12B$-490.8M$-46.4M$-21.2M
Returns
ROE27.2%27.2%34.7%13.8%18.8%
Valuation
P/E16.4516.454.375.53—
EV/EBITDA11.6211.623.572.41—
P/B5.355.351.520.76—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth28.2%28.2%116.2%374.6%—
EPS Growth5.5%5.5%455.8%313.4%—
Dividend Yield0.5%0.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

20.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$28.28

Spread vs growth

-15.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

16.2%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$34.22

Spread vs growth

-10.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

13.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$55.12

Spread vs growth

-7.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +24.0%

Total return

+24.0%

Start / end P/E

16.8x → 19.7x

EPS bridge

15.34 → 16.18

Residual

+0.9%

EPS growth+5.5%
Multiple rerating+17.1%
Dividend+0.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.