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GSC1.DE$13.80-1.07%
Fair $13.80+0.0%

GSC1.DE

Gesco SE

Industrials / Specialty Industrial MachineryXETRA

$13.80

-0.15 (-1.07%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $13.80Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 5/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $15.6M · quality 64.7/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 42/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 1.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · GSC1.DELocal privado en este navegador · Gesco SE
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$143M

P/E

19.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

5.1x

↓

ROE

1.7%

↓

Gross Margin

43.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.28

↓
52-Week Range$14
$13$18

TradingView lightweight chart

GSC1.DE price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $13.90Periodo +195.7%
Fair value: $13.80

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.7%

FCF CAGR

-0.7%

FCF margin

8.4%

FCF / Net income

9.67x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $513.8M · net income $4.4M · FCF $42.9M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

43.2%-2.9% pts

Operating margin

2.7%-6.4% pts

Net margin

0.9%-4.6% pts

FCF margin

8.4%-0.6% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$513.8M$513.8M$560.7M$582.3M$488.1M
Net Income$4.4M$4.4M$20.9M$33.8M$26.9M
EBITDA$36.8M$36.8M$60.2M$70.1M$62.3M
EPS0.420.421.933.122.48
Gross Margin43.2%43.2%42.9%42.6%46.1%
Operating Margin2.7%2.7%6.4%8.7%9.1%
Net Margin0.9%0.9%3.7%5.8%5.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.280.280.390.360.39
Current Ratio2.132.13———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$42.9M$42.9M$15.6M$-1.8M$43.8M
Returns
ROE1.7%1.7%7.7%12.8%11.0%
Valuation
P/E19.4419.449.487.669.96
EV/EBITDA5.075.074.474.534.90
P/B0.550.550.730.981.10
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-8.4%-8.4%-3.7%19.3%—
EPS Growth-78.2%-78.2%-38.1%25.8%—
Dividend Yield1.4%1.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

42.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.22

Spread vs growth

-121.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

28.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.48

Spread vs growth

-106.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

19.0%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.39

Spread vs growth

-97.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -20.9%

Total return

-20.9%

Start / end P/E

9.3x → 33.1x

EPS bridge

1.93 → 0.42

Residual

-200.9%

EPS growth-78.2%
Multiple rerating+256.8%
Dividend+1.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-200.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.