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GTE$8.39+7.98%
Fair $8.39+0.0%

GTE

Gran Tierra Energy Inc.

Energy / Oil & Gas E&PNYSE American

$8.39

+0.62 (+7.98%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $8.39Fund rank 21/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 30/D
F-Score: 3/9
High DebtDeclining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $5.1M · quality 21.0/100

Data gap 21/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 22/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

30/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 18Warnings: 4unknown: 18
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 3.17, above the 2.0 threshold Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · GTELocal privado en este navegador · Gran Tierra Energy Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$297M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

7.2x

↓

ROE

-84.4%

↓

Gross Margin

53.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

3.17

↑
52-Week Range$8
$3$10

TradingView lightweight chart

GTE price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $8.390Periodo -68.8%
Fair value: $8.390

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2008–2025 · 17 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+10.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

5.5%

FCF / Net income

-0.17x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $596.7M · net income $-193.1M · FCF $32.9M

2008-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

53.4%— pts

Operating margin

-1.8%— pts

Net margin

-32.4%-53.0% pts

FCF margin

5.5%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
Income Statement
Revenue$596.7M$596.7M$621.8M$637.0M$711.4M$473.7M$237.8M$571.0M$613.4M$421.7M——————$374.5M$263.7M$114.0M
Net Income$-193.1M$-193.1M$3.2M$-6.3M$139.0M$42.5M$-778.0M$38.7M$102.6M$-31.7M$-465.6M$-268.0M$-171.3M$126.3M$99.7M$126.9M$37.2M$13.9M$23.5M
EBITDA$129.8M$129.8M$342.8M$371.7M$468.2M——————————————
EPS——0.10-0.193.761.15-21.201.002.60-0.80-14.50-9.40-6.004.403.504.501.400.501.60
Gross Margin53.4%53.4%62.9%66.2%74.7%——————————————
Operating Margin-1.8%-1.8%19.2%27.3%44.6%——————————————
Net Margin-32.4%-32.4%0.5%-1.0%19.5%9.0%-327.1%6.8%16.7%-7.5%——————9.9%5.3%20.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity3.173.171.841.431.411.943.010.680.390.270.230.00———————
Current Ratio0.530.53—————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$32.9M$32.9M$5.1M$1.4M$217.4M——————————————
Returns
ROE-84.4%-84.4%0.8%-1.6%33.3%14.1%-302.7%3.7%10.0%-3.4%-54.2%-26.8%-13.4%8.8%7.7%10.8%4.2%1.7%—
Valuation
P/E——77.30—2.26——————————————
EV/EBITDA7.227.222.641.871.66——————————————
P/B1.291.290.600.480.75——————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-4.0%-4.0%-2.4%-10.5%—99.2%-58.3%-6.9%45.5%———————42.0%131.3%—
EPS Growth——152.6%-105.1%—105.4%-2220.0%-61.5%425.0%94.5%-54.3%-56.7%-236.4%25.7%-22.2%221.4%180.0%-68.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +75.9%

Total return

+75.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.10 → n/d

Residual

+75.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+75.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.