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GULFPETRO.BO$38.34-0.44%
Fair $38.34+0.0%

GULFPETRO.BO

GP Petroleums Limited

Energy / Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingBSE

$38.34

-0.16 (-0.44%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $38.34Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 54/C
F-Score: 2/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $102.1M · quality 54.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 28/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

54/100

C

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · GULFPETRO.BOLocal privado en este navegador · GP Petroleums Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.0B

P/E

7.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.5x

↓

ROE

8.0%

↑

Gross Margin

14.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.10

↓
52-Week Range$38
$24$51

TradingView lightweight chart

GULFPETRO.BO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $36.47Periodo +75.3%
Fair value: $38.34

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-5.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1.5%

FCF / Net income

-0.35x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $6.09B · net income $263.2M · FCF $-92.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

14.2%+1.3% pts

Operating margin

5.6%+1.8% pts

Net margin

4.3%+1.7% pts

FCF margin

-1.5%-10.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$6.09B$6.09B$6.55B$7.90B$7.17B
Net Income$263.2M$263.2M$277.1M$251.9M$189.4M
EBITDA$414.2M$414.2M$420.9M$410.4M$323.5M
EPS5.165.165.444.943.71
Gross Margin14.2%14.2%13.5%10.7%12.9%
Operating Margin5.6%5.6%5.4%4.4%3.8%
Net Margin4.3%4.3%4.2%3.2%2.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.100.100.060.110.14
Current Ratio4.694.69———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-92.2M$-92.2M$430.6M$102.1M$619.6M
Returns
ROE8.0%8.0%9.1%9.1%7.5%
Valuation
P/E7.597.5912.437.0314.08
EV/EBITDA5.525.528.575.069.30
P/B0.590.591.140.641.06
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-7.0%-7.0%-17.1%10.2%—
EPS Growth-5.1%-5.1%10.1%33.2%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-13.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$3.40

Spread vs growth

7.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-4.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$4.12

Spread vs growth

-0.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

2.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$6.63

Spread vs growth

-7.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -15.5%

Total return

-15.5%

Start / end P/E

7.9x → 7.1x

EPS bridge

5.44 → 5.16

Residual

+0.6%

EPS growth-5.1%
Multiple rerating-10.9%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.