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HBGHOTELS.BO$100.10+4.11%
Fair $100.10+0.0%

HBGHOTELS.BO

HBG Hotels Limited

Consumer Cyclical / LodgingBSE

$100.10

+4.12 (+4.11%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $100.10Fund rank 21/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 2/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-1.7B · quality 36.7/100

Data gap 21/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 3/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · HBGHOTELS.BOLocal privado en este navegador · HBG Hotels Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.1B

P/E

3.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

8.0x

↓

ROE

16.0%

↑

Gross Margin

49.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.01

↑
52-Week Range$100
$71$286

TradingView lightweight chart

HBGHOTELS.BO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $104.35Periodo -33.4%
Fair value: $100.10

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+21.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-584.9%

FCF / Net income

-2.98x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $285.9M · net income $560.8M · FCF $-1.67B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

49.1%-0.9% pts

Operating margin

7.3%+0.1% pts

Net margin

196.1%+194.3% pts

FCF margin

-584.9%-593.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$285.9M$285.9M$274.6M$258.3M$158.7M
Net Income$560.8M$560.8M$1.96B$6.8M$2.9M
EBITDA$609.9M$609.9M$2.01B$46.8M$35.7M
EPS34.4934.49140.450.500.20
Gross Margin49.1%49.1%49.2%54.0%50.0%
Operating Margin7.3%7.3%7.6%8.5%7.2%
Net Margin196.1%196.1%715.1%2.6%1.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.011.011.060.680.57
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.67B$-1.67B$-1.90B$-8.8M$13.2M
Returns
ROE16.0%16.0%88.9%2.8%1.2%
Valuation
P/E3.123.120.61123.80199.50
EV/EBITDA8.038.031.7522.0019.24
P/B0.460.460.543.542.36
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth4.1%4.1%6.3%62.8%—
EPS Growth-75.4%-75.4%27990.0%150.0%—
Dividend Yield0.3%0.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-36.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$8.88

Spread vs growth

-39.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-20.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$10.75

Spread vs growth

-54.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-6.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$17.31

Spread vs growth

-68.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -62.2%

Total return

-62.2%

Start / end P/E

2.0x → 3.0x

EPS bridge

140.45 → 34.49

Residual

-39.7%

EPS growth-75.4%
Multiple rerating+52.6%
Dividend+0.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-39.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.