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HBSA3.SA$3.18-1.55%
Fair $3.18+0.0%

HBSA3.SA

Hidrovias do Brasil S.A.

Industrials / Integrated Freight & LogisticsSão Paulo

$3.18

-0.05 (-1.55%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.18Fund rank 21/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 28/D
F-Score: 7/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $167.6M · quality 25.7/100

Data gap 21/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 14/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

28/100

D

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -6.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · HBSA3.SALocal privado en este navegador · Hidrovias do Brasil S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.3B

P/E

318.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

7.6x

↓

ROE

-6.5%

↓

Gross Margin

40.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.72

↑
52-Week Range$3
$0$4

TradingView lightweight chart

HBSA3.SA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.230Periodo -56.5%
Fair value: $3.180

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+8.2%

FCF CAGR

+46.8%

FCF margin

33.0%

FCF / Net income

-5.24x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.24B · net income $-140.9M · FCF $739.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

40.5%+5.6% pts

Operating margin

24.4%+5.8% pts

Net margin

-6.3%-5.8% pts

FCF margin

33.0%+19.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.24B$2.24B$1.43B$1.92B$1.77B
Net Income$-140.9M$-140.9M$-569.4M$17.6M$-8.2M
EBITDA$836.9M$836.9M$85.6M$694.1M$752.8M
EPS-0.12-0.12-0.700.02-0.01
Gross Margin40.5%40.5%18.8%35.4%35.0%
Operating Margin24.4%24.4%-1.7%20.1%18.5%
Net Margin-6.3%-6.3%-39.8%0.9%-0.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.721.724.873.083.42
Current Ratio3.583.58———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$739.0M$739.0M$-181.5M$167.6M$233.6M
Returns
ROE-6.5%-6.5%-54.1%1.3%-0.6%
Valuation
P/E318.00318.00—173.09—
EV/EBITDA7.577.5773.999.577.81
P/B1.711.712.092.201.30
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth56.5%56.5%-25.6%8.8%—
EPS Growth82.7%82.7%-3399.1%312.2%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +1.0%

Total return

+1.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.70 → -0.12

Residual

+1.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+1.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.