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HCHL$3.91-2.30%
Fair $3.91+0.0%

HCHL

Happy City Holdings Limited

Consumer Cyclical / RestaurantsNasdaqCM

$3.91

-0.09 (-2.30%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.91Fund rank 21/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 17/F
F-Score: 2/9
High DebtLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 35% · confianza 10%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-685770.00 · quality 26.3/100

Data gap 21/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 18/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

17/100

F

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

12/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 3Warnings: 2unknown: 3
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.06, above the 2.0 threshold ROE is -1.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · HCHLLocal privado en este navegador · Happy City Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$117M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-110.1%

↓

Gross Margin

12.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

2.06

↑
52-Week Range$4
$1$7

TradingView lightweight chart

HCHL price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.820Periodo -23.6%
Fair value: $3.910

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2023–2025 · 2 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+0.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-32.0%

FCF / Net income

0.90x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $6.8M · net income $-2.4M · FCF $-2.2M

2023-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

12.6%+1.2% pts

Operating margin

-33.4%-18.8% pts

Net margin

-35.7%-19.7% pts

FCF margin

-32.0%-21.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
Income Statement
Revenue$6.8M$6.8M$8.3M$6.8M
Net Income$-2.4M$-2.4M$1.3M$-1.1M
EBITDA$-1.6M$-1.6M$2.1M$-446399.00
EPS———-0.06
Gross Margin12.6%12.6%27.3%11.4%
Operating Margin-33.4%-33.4%15.8%-14.6%
Net Margin-35.7%-35.7%15.9%-16.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.062.068.19-2.66
Current Ratio0.830.83——
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-2.2M$-2.2M$493271.00$-685770.00
Returns
ROE-110.1%-110.1%219.2%74.2%
Valuation
P/B33.2633.26——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-18.0%-18.0%22.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · available periodreconcilia total -23.6%

Total return

-23.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

n/d → n/d

Residual

-23.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-23.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.