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HCITY.MX$6.11-0.65%
Fair $6.11+0.0%

HCITY.MX

Promotora de Hoteles Norte 19, S.A.B. de C.V.

Consumer Cyclical / LodgingMexico

$6.11

-0.04 (-0.65%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $6.11Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 36/D
F-Score: 8/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $631.1M · quality 62.0/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 65/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

36/100

D

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

8/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 2Warnings: 1unknown: 2
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Limited financial history; valuation confidence should be treated as provisional. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 0.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · HCITY.MXLocal privado en este navegador · Promotora de Hoteles Norte 19, S.A.B. de C.V.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.5B

P/E

70.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

7.6x

↓

ROE

0.6%

↓

Gross Margin

45.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.01

↑
52-Week Range$6
$4$7

TradingView lightweight chart

HCITY.MX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $6.110Periodo -72.8%
Fair value: $6.110

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2022 · 1 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+39.7%

FCF CAGR

+88.5%

FCF margin

26.0%

FCF / Net income

23.52x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.18B · net income $35.1M · FCF $824.7M

2021-FY → 2022-FY

Gross margin

45.2%+7.0% pts

Operating margin

15.1%+17.3% pts

Net margin

1.1%+18.5% pts

FCF margin

26.0%+6.7% pts
MetricTTM
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$3.18B$3.18B$2.27B
Net Income$35.1M$35.1M$-396.3M
EBITDA$1.04B$1.04B$584.8M
EPS0.090.09-1.03
Gross Margin45.2%45.2%38.2%
Operating Margin15.1%15.1%-2.2%
Net Margin1.1%1.1%-17.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.011.011.06
Current Ratio0.950.95—
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$824.7M$824.7M$437.5M
Returns
ROE0.6%0.6%-6.3%
Valuation
P/E70.6470.64—
EV/EBITDA7.657.6513.21
P/B0.410.410.30
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth39.7%39.7%—
EPS Growth108.4%108.4%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

84.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.54

Spread vs growth

24.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

50.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.66

Spread vs growth

58.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

28.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.06

Spread vs growth

80.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +44.8%

Total return

+44.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-1.03 → 0.09

Residual

+44.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+44.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.