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HCWB$2.07+4.55%
Fair $2.07+0.0%

HCWB

HCW Biologics Inc.

Healthcare / BiotechnologyNasdaqCM

$2.07

+0.09 (+4.55%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.07Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 15/F
F-Score: 2/9
High DebtDeclining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 15%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-14.5M · quality 30.7/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 18/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

15/100

F

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 6Warnings: 4unknown: 6
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific biotech pipeline model required: targets are disabled until product, probability, peak-sales and cash-runway data exists. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.46, above the 2.0 threshold Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · HCWBLocal privado en este navegador · HCW Biologics Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$15M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-287.9%

↓

Gross Margin

20.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

2.46

↑
52-Week Range$2
$0$9

TradingView lightweight chart

HCWB price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.070Periodo -99.2%
Fair value: $2.070

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2020–2025 · 5 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-57.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-24693.2%

FCF / Net income

1.68x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $54232.0 · net income $-8.0M · FCF $-13.4M

2020-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

20.0%— pts

Operating margin

-20757.6%-20615.6% pts

Net margin

-14677.1%-14535.6% pts

FCF margin

-24693.2%-24434.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Income Statement
Revenue$54232.00$54232.00$2.6M$2.8M$6.7M—$4.1M
Net Income$-8.0M$-8.0M$-30.0M$-25.0M$-14.9M$-12.9M$-5.8M
EBITDA$-5.7M$-5.7M$-27.7M$-23.6M$-14.1M$-12.8M$-5.3M
EPS-10.63-10.63-30.80-28.00-16.80-27.60—
Gross Margin20.0%20.0%37.4%19.7%38.5%——
Operating Margin-20757.6%-20757.6%-1076.4%-905.0%-224.3%—-142.1%
Net Margin-14677.1%-14677.1%-1169.7%-879.5%-221.7%—-141.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.462.46-2.020.470.170.00—
Current Ratio0.090.09—————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-13.4M$-13.4M$-14.5M$-28.7M$-20.7M$-11.0M$-10.6M
Returns
ROE-287.9%-287.9%443.5%-185.7%-39.8%-25.1%34.7%
Valuation
P/B1.571.57—3.201.99——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-97.9%-97.9%-9.7%-57.7%———
EPS Growth65.5%65.5%-10.0%-66.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -73.2%

Total return

-73.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-30.80 → -10.63

Residual

-73.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-73.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.