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HDC.JO$19246.00+0.10%
Fair $19246.00+0.0%

HDC.JO

Hudaco Industries Limited

Industrials / Industrial DistributionJohannesburg

$19246.00

+20.00 (+0.10%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $19246.00Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.0B · quality 73.7/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 74/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · HDC.JOLocal privado en este navegador · Hudaco Industries Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.5B

P/E

9.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

488.2x

↑

ROE

15.7%

↑

Gross Margin

37.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.37

↑
52-Week Range$19246
$17000$22500

TradingView lightweight chart

HDC.JO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $19,670Periodo +1970.5%
Fair value: $19,246

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.4%

FCF CAGR

+22.0%

FCF margin

11.7%

FCF / Net income

1.79x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $8.75B · net income $574.3M · FCF $1.03B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

37.5%+0.8% pts

Operating margin

12.5%+0.3% pts

Net margin

6.6%-0.8% pts

FCF margin

11.7%+4.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$8.75B$8.75B$8.38B$8.90B$8.15B
Net Income$574.3M$574.3M$505.7M$610.8M$596.3M
EBITDA$1.15B$1.15B$997.0M$1.13B$1.14B
EPS19.8019.8017.4420.6719.27
Gross Margin37.5%37.5%37.7%36.0%36.7%
Operating Margin12.5%12.5%12.0%12.0%12.2%
Net Margin6.6%6.6%6.0%6.9%7.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.370.370.380.530.42
Current Ratio2.622.62———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.03B$1.03B$1.25B$528.8M$565.5M
Returns
ROE15.7%15.7%14.8%18.6%19.3%
Valuation
P/E9.729.721163.70778.91716.14
EV/EBITDA488.23488.23591.27422.89377.07
P/B152.48152.48172.57144.83137.89
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth4.4%4.4%-5.8%9.1%—
EPS Growth13.5%13.5%-15.6%7.3%—
Dividend Yield5.7%5.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

341.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1707.76

Spread vs growth

-328.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

153.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2066.39

Spread vs growth

-139.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

66.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3327.94

Spread vs growth

-53.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +4.8%

Total return

+4.8%

Start / end P/E

1137.8x → 993.4x

EPS bridge

17.44 → 19.80

Residual

-1.7%

EPS growth+13.5%
Multiple rerating-12.7%
Dividend+5.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.