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HDD.DE$1.44+0.98%
Fair $1.44+0.0%

HDD.DE

Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft

Industrials / Specialty Industrial MachineryXETRA

$1.44

+0.01 (+0.98%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.44Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $25.0M · quality 47.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is 0.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · HDD.DELocal privado en este navegador · Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$437M

P/E

6.5x

↓

EV/EBITDA

2.8x

↓

ROE

0.9%

↓

Gross Margin

49.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.14

↓
52-Week Range$1
$1$3

TradingView lightweight chart

HDD.DE price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.437Periodo -95.7%
Fair value: $1.437

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

1.1%

FCF / Net income

5.00x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.28B · net income $5.0M · FCF $25.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

49.6%+2.1% pts

Operating margin

2.5%+1.2% pts

Net margin

0.2%-1.3% pts

FCF margin

1.1%+1.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.28B$2.28B$2.40B$2.44B$2.18B
Net Income$5.0M$5.0M$39.0M$91.0M$33.0M
EBITDA$141.0M$141.0M$173.0M$218.0M$160.0M
EPS0.020.020.130.300.11
Gross Margin49.6%49.6%47.9%48.1%47.6%
Operating Margin2.5%2.5%3.7%3.7%1.3%
Net Margin0.2%0.2%1.6%3.7%1.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.140.140.140.190.53
Current Ratio1.381.38———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$25.0M$25.0M$25.0M$-45.0M$-4.0M
Returns
ROE0.9%0.9%7.4%17.7%13.6%
Valuation
P/E6.536.538.025.3120.09
EV/EBITDA2.822.821.612.164.25
P/B0.800.800.600.952.78
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-4.8%-4.8%-1.6%11.5%—
EPS Growth-84.6%-84.6%-56.7%172.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

85.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.13

Spread vs growth

-170.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

50.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.15

Spread vs growth

-135.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

28.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.25

Spread vs growth

-113.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +1.6%

Total return

+1.6%

Start / end P/E

10.9x → 71.9x

EPS bridge

0.13 → 0.02

Residual

-474.3%

EPS growth-84.6%
Multiple rerating+560.6%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-474.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.