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HDP.PA$1.76-6.38%
Fair $1.76+0.0%

HDP.PA

Les Hôtels de Paris SA

Consumer Cyclical / LodgingParis

$1.76

-0.12 (-6.38%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.76Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 32/D
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $8.8M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 13/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

32/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -33.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · HDP.PALocal privado en este navegador · Les Hôtels de Paris SA
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$13M

P/E

1.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.1x

↓

ROE

-33.6%

↓

Gross Margin

32.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

-5.89

↓
52-Week Range$2
$2$2

TradingView lightweight chart

HDP.PA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.760Periodo -88.5%
Fair value: $1.760

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-92.8%

FCF / Net income

-3.58x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $45.3M · net income $11.7M · FCF $-42.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

32.7%-1.1% pts

Operating margin

63.7%+48.9% pts

Net margin

25.9%+33.9% pts

FCF margin

-92.8%-130.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$45.3M$45.3M$43.5M$41.4M$42.5M
Net Income$11.7M$11.7M$-17.6M$-11.1M$-3.4M
EBITDA$41.2M$41.2M$6.8M$8.4M$12.5M
EPS1.591.59—-1.51-0.46
Gross Margin32.7%32.7%35.5%34.2%33.7%
Operating Margin63.7%63.7%10.8%8.0%14.8%
Net Margin25.9%25.9%-40.4%-26.9%-8.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity-5.89-5.89-3.56-5.22-8.25
Current Ratio0.090.09———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-42.1M$-42.1M$10.3M$8.8M$16.0M
Returns
ROE-33.6%-33.6%37.5%38.6%19.2%
Valuation
P/E1.111.11———
EV/EBITDA5.055.0524.8520.4011.03
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth4.1%4.1%5.1%-2.6%—
EPS Growth———-228.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-53.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.16

Spread vs growth

58.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-34.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.19

Spread vs growth

38.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-15.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.30

Spread vs growth

19.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -18.5%

Total return

-18.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

n/d → 1.59

Residual

-18.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-18.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.