StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
HEAD.L$32.90-4.49%
Fair $32.90+0.0%

HEAD.L

Headlam Group plc

Consumer Cyclical / Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesLSE

$32.90

-1.90 (-4.49%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $32.90Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 15/F
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-5.7M · quality 35.3/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 15/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

15/100

F

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -74.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · HEAD.LLocal privado en este navegador · Headlam Group plc
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$26M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-74.5%

↓

Gross Margin

28.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.14

↑
52-Week Range$33
$28$100

TradingView lightweight chart

HEAD.L price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $40.40Periodo -89.4%
Fair value: $32.90

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-9.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-10.0%

FCF / Net income

0.61x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $498.7M · net income $-81.9M · FCF $-49.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

28.8%-4.3% pts

Operating margin

-7.3%-13.0% pts

Net margin

-16.4%-21.5% pts

FCF margin

-10.0%-9.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$498.7M$498.7M$525.7M$656.5M$663.6M
Net Income$-81.9M$-81.9M$-25.0M$7.7M$33.6M
EBITDA$-34.1M$-34.1M$-5.9M$34.9M$64.8M
EPS-1.02-1.02-0.310.100.40
Gross Margin28.8%28.8%27.7%31.7%33.1%
Operating Margin-7.3%-7.3%-6.5%1.8%5.7%
Net Margin-16.4%-16.4%-4.8%1.2%5.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.141.140.330.430.17
Current Ratio1.151.15———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-49.8M$-49.8M$-3.0M$-5.7M$-2.9M
Returns
ROE-74.5%-74.5%-13.1%3.5%14.9%
Valuation
P/E———2177.08824.12
EV/EBITDA———483.44426.96
P/B24.0124.0159.8776.22122.91
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-5.1%-5.1%-19.9%-1.1%—
EPS Growth-226.9%-226.9%-425.0%-75.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -57.7%

Total return

-57.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.31 → -1.02

Residual

-57.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-57.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.