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HERNO-B.ST$3.39+0.00%
Fair $3.39+0.0%

HERNO-B.ST

HERNO-B.ST

Consumer Defensive / Beverages - Wineries & DistilleriesStockholm

$3.39

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.39Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 16/F
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $6.4M · quality 51.3/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 49/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

16/100

F

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 3.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · HERNO-B.STLocal privado en este navegador · HERNO-B.ST
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$138M

P/E

30.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

16.3x

↑

ROE

3.9%

↓

Gross Margin

78.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$3
$3$6

TradingView lightweight chart

HERNO-B.ST price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.390Periodo -58.7%
Fair value: $3.390

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+0.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1.3%

FCF / Net income

-0.14x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $47.4M · net income $4.4M · FCF $-618292.0

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

78.0%— pts

Operating margin

8.3%-13.5% pts

Net margin

9.4%-8.4% pts

FCF margin

-1.3%-24.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$47.4M$47.4M$50.3M$51.1M$46.2M
Net Income$4.4M$4.4M$5.0M$8.0M$8.2M
EBITDA$8.0M$8.0M$9.0M$12.4M$10.1M
EPS——0.120.200.20
Gross Margin78.0%78.0%76.6%77.1%—
Operating Margin8.3%8.3%12.1%19.2%21.9%
Net Margin9.4%9.4%9.9%15.7%17.7%
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-618292.00$-618292.00$6.4M$8.9M$10.7M
Returns
ROE3.9%3.9%4.6%11.4%13.1%
Valuation
P/E30.8230.8232.30——
EV/EBITDA16.2916.2916.29——
P/B1.221.221.47——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-5.8%-5.8%-1.4%10.5%—
EPS Growth——-38.0%-1.9%—
Dividend Yield2.9%2.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -12.3%

Total return

-12.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.12 → n/d

Residual

-15.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+2.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-15.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.