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HILTON.NS$19.97-4.95%
Fair $19.97+0.0%

HILTON.NS

Hilton Metal Forging Limited

Industrials / Metal FabricationNSE

$19.97

-1.04 (-4.95%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $19.97Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-31.8M · quality 41.0/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 14/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · HILTON.NSLocal privado en este navegador · Hilton Metal Forging Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.0B

P/E

7.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

7.0x

↓

ROE

5.3%

↓

Gross Margin

14.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.53

↑
52-Week Range$20
$13$80

TradingView lightweight chart

HILTON.NS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $19.97Periodo -68.6%
Fair value: $19.97

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+24.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1.9%

FCF / Net income

-0.51x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.63B · net income $61.8M · FCF $-31.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

14.4%+0.9% pts

Operating margin

4.9%+1.3% pts

Net margin

3.8%+1.7% pts

FCF margin

-1.9%-3.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.63B$1.63B$1.38B$1.05B$837.7M
Net Income$61.8M$61.8M$66.9M$58.6M$17.6M
EBITDA$153.7M$153.7M$165.4M$144.8M$37.6M
EPS2.342.342.682.351.19
Gross Margin14.4%14.4%19.6%18.4%13.5%
Operating Margin4.9%4.9%9.1%11.3%3.6%
Net Margin3.8%3.8%4.8%5.6%2.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.530.530.540.591.34
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-31.8M$-31.8M$32.8M$-302.7M$9.0M
Returns
ROE5.3%5.3%6.7%6.6%3.9%
Valuation
P/E7.747.7449.3849.2228.01
EV/EBITDA6.986.9823.1923.5629.11
P/B0.460.463.313.241.10
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth18.1%18.1%31.8%24.9%—
EPS Growth-12.6%-12.6%14.0%96.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-8.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.77

Spread vs growth

-3.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-1.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$2.14

Spread vs growth

-10.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

4.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$3.45

Spread vs growth

-16.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -74.5%

Total return

-74.5%

Start / end P/E

29.3x → 8.5x

EPS bridge

2.68 → 2.34

Residual

+8.9%

EPS growth-12.6%
Multiple rerating-70.8%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+8.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.