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v0.1
HKD$1.91+4.95%
Fair $1.91+0.0%

HKD

AMTD Digital Inc.

Technology / Software - ApplicationNYSE

$1.91

+0.09 (+4.95%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.91Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 56/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $14.3M · quality 52.0/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 70/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

56/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · HKDLocal privado en este navegador · AMTD Digital Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$600M

P/E

10.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.4x

↓

ROE

20.6%

↑

Gross Margin

65.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.22

↑
52-Week Range$2
$1$5

TradingView lightweight chart

HKD price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.910Periodo -88.2%
Fair value: $1.910

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+32.7%

FCF CAGR

+12.7%

FCF margin

24.3%

FCF / Net income

0.26x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $59.0M · net income $54.7M · FCF $14.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

65.7%+2.4% pts

Operating margin

15.5%-27.9% pts

Net margin

92.7%-16.1% pts

FCF margin

24.3%-15.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$59.0M$59.0M$23.4M$33.1M$25.3M
Net Income$54.7M$54.7M$44.4M$42.1M$27.5M
EBITDA$118.5M$118.5M$58.4M$47.8M$29.7M
EPS——0.230.220.16
Gross Margin65.7%65.7%64.5%70.2%63.2%
Operating Margin15.5%15.5%0.7%52.6%43.4%
Net Margin92.7%92.7%189.5%127.2%108.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.221.2217.420.35—
Current Ratio1.931.93———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$14.3M$14.3M$4.1M$15.5M$10.0M
Returns
ROE20.6%20.6%240.6%12.5%—
Valuation
P/E10.6110.6113.3629.46—
EV/EBITDA4.384.3814.6424.90—
P/B0.900.9032.233.63—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth151.8%151.8%—30.8%—
EPS Growth———37.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -8.2%

Total return

-8.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.23 → n/d

Residual

-8.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-8.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.