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v0.1
HKTM.IS$15.06+2.78%
Fair $15.06+0.0%

HKTM.IS

Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S.

Industrials / Specialty Industrial MachineryIstanbul

$15.06

+0.41 (+2.78%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $15.06Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 41/C
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-19.5M · quality 50.0/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 21/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

41/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -12.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · HKTM.ISLocal privado en este navegador · Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.6B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

7.5x

↓

ROE

-12.0%

↓

Gross Margin

37.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.44

↑
52-Week Range$15
$10$17

TradingView lightweight chart

HKTM.IS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $15.15Periodo +275.6%
Fair value: $15.06

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+14.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-25.4%

FCF / Net income

1.71x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $793.6M · net income $-117.9M · FCF $-201.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

37.3%+8.4% pts

Operating margin

11.4%+6.3% pts

Net margin

-14.9%-5.0% pts

FCF margin

-25.4%+6.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$793.6M$793.6M$884.9M$878.2M$526.2M
Net Income$-117.9M$-117.9M$-165.0M$-38.7M$-51.9M
EBITDA$259.4M$259.4M$246.9M$155.0M$62.2M
EPS-1.12-1.12-1.75-0.37-0.59
Gross Margin37.3%37.3%31.8%30.5%28.9%
Operating Margin11.4%11.4%14.9%7.7%5.1%
Net Margin-14.9%-14.9%-18.6%-4.4%-9.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.440.440.570.530.33
Current Ratio1.161.16———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-201.6M$-201.6M$-19.5M$31.5M$-165.5M
Returns
ROE-12.0%-12.0%-22.0%-6.1%-10.9%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA7.537.537.6112.3835.28
P/B1.611.612.042.884.54
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-10.3%-10.3%0.8%66.9%—
EPS Growth35.8%35.8%-373.0%37.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +47.4%

Total return

+47.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-1.75 → -1.12

Residual

+47.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+47.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.