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HL.BK$5.85-0.85%
Fair $5.85+0.0%

HL.BK

Healthlead Public Company Limited

Healthcare / Pharmaceutical RetailersThailand

$5.85

-0.05 (-0.85%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5.85Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 47/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 24%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $10.3M · quality 42.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 24/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

47/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · HL.BKLocal privado en este navegador · Healthlead Public Company Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.5B

P/E

20.9x

↑

EV/EBITDA

9.0x

↓

ROE

8.0%

↑

Gross Margin

24.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.33

↑
52-Week Range$6
$5$8

TradingView lightweight chart

HL.BK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5.800Periodo -55.4%
Fair value: $5.850

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+13.6%

FCF CAGR

+117.6%

FCF margin

7.2%

FCF / Net income

2.06x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.23B · net income $77.9M · FCF $160.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

24.3%-0.4% pts

Operating margin

5.0%-4.8% pts

Net margin

3.5%-4.3% pts

FCF margin

7.2%+6.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.23B$2.23B$1.98B$1.64B$1.52B
Net Income$77.9M$77.9M$78.3M$74.7M$118.2M
EBITDA$207.8M$207.8M$187.2M$159.0M$186.7M
EPS——0.290.270.43
Gross Margin24.3%24.3%23.5%23.1%24.8%
Operating Margin5.0%5.0%4.8%6.2%9.8%
Net Margin3.5%3.5%4.0%4.6%7.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.330.330.290.230.18
Current Ratio3.033.03———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$160.0M$160.0M$10.3M$8.4M$15.5M
Returns
ROE8.0%8.0%7.8%7.7%12.6%
Valuation
P/E20.8920.8935.5239.6357.91
EV/EBITDA8.968.9615.6517.6036.40
P/B1.631.632.793.017.19
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth12.7%12.7%20.9%7.6%—
EPS Growth——7.4%-37.2%—
Dividend Yield3.8%3.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -4.1%

Total return

-4.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.29 → n/d

Residual

-7.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+3.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-7.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.