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HLM.JO$180.00+4.65%
Fair $180.00+0.0%

HLM.JO

Hulamin Limited

Industrials / Metal FabricationJohannesburg

$180.00

+8.00 (+4.65%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $180.00Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 21/D
F-Score: 2/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-306.1M · quality 44.3/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

21/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -4.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · HLM.JOLocal privado en este navegador · Hulamin Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$612M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

205.4x

↑

ROE

-4.0%

↓

Gross Margin

9.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.48

↑
52-Week Range$180
$170$305

TradingView lightweight chart

HLM.JO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $180.00Periodo -96.0%
Fair value: $180.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-6.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-2.3%

FCF / Net income

2.07x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $13.05B · net income $-147.6M · FCF $-306.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

9.0%-2.8% pts

Operating margin

0.9%-2.5% pts

Net margin

-1.1%-3.0% pts

FCF margin

-2.3%-1.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$13.05B$13.05B$12.82B$13.80B$15.93B
Net Income$-147.6M$-147.6M$246.3M$271.8M$299.7M
EBITDA$297.4M$297.4M$741.7M$676.1M$644.6M
EPS-0.48-0.480.730.830.91
Gross Margin9.0%9.0%12.0%13.7%11.9%
Operating Margin0.9%0.9%3.0%3.6%3.3%
Net Margin-1.1%-1.1%1.9%2.0%1.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.480.480.360.300.30
Current Ratio2.682.68———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-306.1M$-306.1M$-593.6M$51.7M$-171.0M
Returns
ROE-4.0%-4.0%6.5%7.7%9.3%
Valuation
P/E——465.75353.01329.67
EV/EBITDA205.43205.43155.61143.54154.10
P/B16.1916.1930.1227.1830.45
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth1.8%1.8%-7.1%-13.4%—
EPS Growth-165.8%-165.8%-12.0%-8.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -21.4%

Total return

-21.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.73 → -0.48

Residual

-21.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-21.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.