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HLT$331.36+1.13%
Fair $331.36+0.0%

HLT

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.

Consumer Cyclical / LodgingNYSE

$331.36

+3.70 (+1.13%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $331.36Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 42/C
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.8B · quality 75.0/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 73/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

42/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 14Warnings: 1unknown: 14
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. ROE is -27.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · HLTLocal privado en este navegador · Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$75.4B

P/E

50.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

31.7x

↑

ROE

-27.0%

↓

Gross Margin

28.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

-2.43

↓
52-Week Range$331
$241$345

TradingView lightweight chart

HLT price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $331.36Periodo +651.1%
Fair value: $331.36

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2012–2025 · 13 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.0%

FCF CAGR

+8.5%

FCF margin

16.1%

FCF / Net income

1.33x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $12.04B · net income $1.46B · FCF $1.94B

2012-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

28.2%— pts

Operating margin

22.4%+10.5% pts

Net margin

12.1%+8.3% pts

FCF margin

16.1%+8.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
Income Statement
Revenue$12.04B$12.04B$11.17B$10.23B$8.77B$5.79B$4.31B$9.45B$8.91B$8.13B$6.58B$7.13B$10.50B$9.73B$9.28B
Net Income$1.46B$1.46B$1.53B$1.14B$1.25B$410.0M$-715.0M$881.0M$764.0M$1.08B$338.0M$1.40B$673.0M$415.0M$352.0M
EBITDA$2.87B$2.87B$2.50B$2.30B$2.31B$1.20B$-87.0M$2.00B$1.76B$1.47B$1.22B$1.28B$2.30B$1.71B$1.65B
EPS6.126.126.144.334.531.46-2.583.042.503.321.034.262.050.920.78
Gross Margin28.2%28.2%27.4%28.6%30.8%——————————
Operating Margin22.4%22.4%21.2%22.1%23.9%17.4%-9.7%17.5%16.1%13.9%13.2%12.6%15.9%11.3%11.9%
Net Margin12.1%12.1%13.7%11.1%14.3%7.1%-16.6%9.3%8.6%13.3%5.1%19.7%6.4%4.3%3.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity-2.43-2.43-3.19-4.29-8.79——————————
Current Ratio0.610.61—————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.94B$1.94B$1.81B$1.70B$1.58B$74.0M$662.0M$1.30B$1.18B$791.0M$993.0M$1.14B$1.04B$1.85B$677.0M
Returns
ROE-27.0%-27.0%-41.2%-48.3%-113.9%-49.9%48.0%-182.8%138.7%64.2%5.7%23.5%14.2%9.5%—
Valuation
P/E50.5950.5940.1541.6928.75——————————
EV/EBITDA31.7331.7328.9124.7419.28——————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.7%7.7%9.2%16.7%—34.4%-54.4%6.1%9.5%23.6%-7.8%-32.1%7.9%4.9%—
EPS Growth-0.3%-0.3%41.8%-4.4%—156.6%-184.9%21.6%-24.7%222.3%-75.8%107.8%122.0%18.4%—
Dividend Yield0.2%0.2%—————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

68.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$29.40

Spread vs growth

-69.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

42.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$35.58

Spread vs growth

-42.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

25.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$57.30

Spread vs growth

-25.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +33.6%

Total return

+33.6%

Start / end P/E

40.5x → 54.1x

EPS bridge

6.14 → 6.12

Residual

-0.1%

EPS growth-0.3%
Multiple rerating+33.8%
Dividend+0.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.