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HLX$9.56+2.25%
Fair $9.56+0.0%

HLX

Helix Energy Solutions Group, Inc.

Energy / Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesNYSE

$9.56

+0.21 (+2.25%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $9.56Fund rank 35/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 47/C
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $132.9M · quality 71.0/100

Data gap 35/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 69/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

47/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 18Warnings: 1unknown: 18
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is 2.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · HLXLocal privado en este navegador · Helix Energy Solutions Group, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.4B

P/E

95.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

7.6x

↓

ROE

2.0%

↓

Gross Margin

12.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.40

↑
52-Week Range$10
$6$11

TradingView lightweight chart

HLX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $9.560Periodo +15.0%
Fair value: $9.560

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2008–2025 · 17 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-2.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

9.3%

FCF / Net income

3.91x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.29B · net income $30.8M · FCF $120.4M

2008-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

12.3%-5.3% pts

Operating margin

6.4%+26.0% pts

Net margin

2.4%+32.5% pts

FCF margin

9.3%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
Income Statement
Revenue$1.29B$1.29B$1.36B$1.29B$873.1M$674.7M$733.6M$751.9M$739.8M$581.4M$487.6M$695.8M$1.11B$876.6M$846.1M$702.0M$774.5M$1.46B$2.11B
Net Income$30.8M$30.8M$55.6M$-10.8M$-87.8M$-61.5M$22.2M$57.9M$28.6M$30.1M$-81.4M$-377.0M$195.6M$113.0M$-46.3M$130.0M$-127.0M$156.1M$-635.9M
EBITDA$210.0M$210.0M$253.2M$167.3M$73.7M$92.8M$146.7M$180.7M$162.1M$107.6M$51.0M$-187.0M$371.1M$277.6M$28.7M$154.2M$133.0M$466.4M$-80.5M
EPS0.210.210.36-0.07-0.58-0.410.130.380.190.20-0.73-3.581.851.04-0.441.23-1.220.96-7.05
Gross Margin12.3%12.3%16.2%15.5%5.8%2.3%10.9%18.3%16.4%10.7%9.5%-33.6%31.1%29.7%5.9%21.3%21.3%16.6%17.6%
Operating Margin6.4%6.4%9.4%8.2%-3.0%-7.2%1.8%9.0%7.0%-0.2%-13.0%-44.2%23.6%20.4%-8.1%9.0%6.6%13.9%-19.6%
Net Margin2.4%2.4%4.1%-0.8%-10.1%-9.1%3.0%7.7%3.9%5.2%-16.7%-54.2%17.7%12.9%-5.5%18.5%-16.4%10.7%-30.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.400.400.440.360.310.160.150.180.240.250.440.530.320.360.720.811.070.96—
Current Ratio2.922.92—————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$120.4M$120.4M$162.7M$132.9M$17.6M——————————————
Returns
ROE2.0%2.0%3.7%-0.7%-5.8%-3.7%1.3%3.4%1.8%1.9%-6.4%-29.5%11.8%7.5%-3.3%9.1%-10.1%11.1%—
Valuation
P/E95.6095.6026.44————————————————
EV/EBITDA7.647.646.979.9218.74——————————————
P/B0.900.900.970.970.72——————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-4.9%-4.9%5.3%47.7%—-8.0%-2.4%1.6%27.3%19.2%-29.9%-37.2%26.3%3.6%20.5%-9.4%-47.0%-30.9%—
EPS Growth-41.7%-41.7%614.3%87.9%—-415.4%-65.8%100.0%-5.0%127.4%79.6%-293.5%77.9%336.4%-135.8%200.8%-227.1%113.6%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

59.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.85

Spread vs growth

-100.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

37.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.03

Spread vs growth

-79.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

22.9%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.65

Spread vs growth

-64.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +54.4%

Total return

+54.4%

Start / end P/E

17.2x → 45.5x

EPS bridge

0.36 → 0.21

Residual

-68.6%

EPS growth-41.7%
Multiple rerating+164.8%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-68.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.