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HPCOTTON.BO$103.90-0.10%
Fair $103.90+0.0%

HPCOTTON.BO

H.P. Cotton Textile Mills Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Textile ManufacturingBSE

$103.90

-0.10 (-0.10%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $103.90Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 34/D
F-Score: 7/9
High Debt

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 35% · confianza 12%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $56.6M · quality 30.3/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 25/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

34/100

D

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.47, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · HPCOTTON.BOLocal privado en este navegador · H.P. Cotton Textile Mills Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$407M

P/E

12.5x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.4x

↓

ROE

15.8%

↑

Gross Margin

54.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

2.47

↑
52-Week Range$104
$93$132

TradingView lightweight chart

HPCOTTON.BO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $103.90Periodo -18.9%
Fair value: $103.90

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

4.7%

FCF / Net income

2.20x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.21B · net income $25.7M · FCF $56.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

54.6%+1.3% pts

Operating margin

8.1%-0.3% pts

Net margin

2.1%-3.6% pts

FCF margin

4.7%+13.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.21B$1.21B$885.5M$769.6M$1.24B
Net Income$25.7M$25.7M$9.1M$-180.7M$70.4M
EBITDA$125.7M$125.7M$51.0M$-101.9M$151.7M
EPS6.566.562.31-46.7118.48
Gross Margin54.6%54.6%55.4%42.7%53.3%
Operating Margin8.1%8.1%0.8%-18.8%8.4%
Net Margin2.1%2.1%1.0%-23.5%5.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.472.472.853.481.14
Current Ratio1.021.02———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$56.6M$56.6M$116.8M$-8.1M$-112.0M
Returns
ROE15.8%15.8%6.6%-139.2%22.9%
Valuation
P/E12.4712.47———
EV/EBITDA6.436.43———
P/B2.512.51———
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth36.2%36.2%15.1%-37.7%—
EPS Growth184.0%184.0%104.9%-352.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

12.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$9.22

Spread vs growth

172.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

11.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$11.16

Spread vs growth

172.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

10.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$17.97

Spread vs growth

173.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -6.4%

Total return

-6.4%

Start / end P/E

48.1x → 15.8x

EPS bridge

2.31 → 6.56

Residual

-123.4%

EPS growth+184.0%
Multiple rerating-67.0%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-123.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.