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HPG.AX$0.73-2.67%
Fair $0.73+0.0%

HPG.AX

hipages Group Holdings Limited

Technology / Software - ApplicationASX

$0.73

-0.02 (-2.67%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.73Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-251000.00 · quality 48.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 18/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · HPG.AXLocal privado en este navegador · hipages Group Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$100M

P/E

18.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.5x

↓

ROE

9.2%

↑

Gross Margin

100.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.25

↑
52-Week Range$1
$1$2

TradingView lightweight chart

HPG.AX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.730Periodo -70.3%
Fair value: $0.730

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+11.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

6.1%

FCF / Net income

1.29x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $75.3M · net income $3.6M · FCF $4.6M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

100.0%+0.0% pts

Operating margin

-1.3%+6.8% pts

Net margin

4.7%+16.1% pts

FCF margin

6.1%+6.7% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$75.3M$75.3M$65.9M$60.7M$54.4M
Net Income$3.6M$3.6M$-5.1M$-910000.00$-6.2M
EBITDA$20.1M$20.1M$8.9M$9.4M$5.0M
EPS0.030.03-0.04-0.01—
Gross Margin100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%
Operating Margin-1.3%-1.3%-5.0%0.8%-8.1%
Net Margin4.7%4.7%-7.8%-1.5%-11.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.250.250.340.370.24
Current Ratio2.152.15———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$4.6M$4.6M$-251000.00$-564000.00$-312000.00
Returns
ROE9.2%9.2%-15.0%-2.5%-17.3%
Valuation
P/E18.2518.25———
EV/EBITDA4.494.4913.4415.9373.32
P/B2.602.603.393.9610.84
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth14.3%14.3%8.6%11.5%—
EPS Growth165.8%165.8%-460.0%——

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

35.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.06

Spread vs growth

129.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

24.9%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.08

Spread vs growth

140.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

17.2%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.13

Spread vs growth

148.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -11.0%

Total return

-11.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.04 → 0.03

Residual

-11.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-11.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.