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v0.1
HPK$5.82+0.00%
Fair $5.82+0.0%

HPK

HighPeak Energy, Inc.

Energy / Oil & Gas E&PNasdaqGM

$5.82

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5.82Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 21/D
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF n/d · quality 56.0/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 50/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

21/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 7Warnings: 3unknown: 7
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 1.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · HPKLocal privado en este navegador · HighPeak Energy, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$735M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

1.2%

↓

Gross Margin

N/A

•

Debt/Equity

0.71

↑
No hay histórico de precio usable para pintar el gráfico TradingView.

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2019–2025 · 6 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+117.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

—

FCF / Net income

—

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $863.4M · net income $19.0M · FCF —

2019-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

—— pts

Operating margin

17.4%+160.1% pts

Net margin

2.2%+144.9% pts

FCF margin

—— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Income Statement
Revenue$863.4M$863.4M$1.12B$1.13B$755.7M$220.1M—$8.1M
Net Income$19.0M$19.0M$95.1M$215.9M$236.9M$55.6M—$-11.6M
EBITDA$571.8M$571.8M$838.2M$850.9M$600.3M$166.9M—$-7.3M
EPS0.140.140.671.581.930.54——
Operating Margin17.4%17.4%30.2%37.7%55.9%46.2%—-142.7%
Net Margin2.2%2.2%8.5%19.1%31.3%25.2%—-142.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.710.710.580.660.600.180.00—
Returns
ROE1.2%1.2%5.9%13.9%20.3%10.0%——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-22.7%-22.7%-1.2%49.7%243.3%———
EPS Growth-79.1%-79.1%-57.6%-18.1%257.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

54.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.52

Spread vs growth

-133.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

34.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.62

Spread vs growth

-114.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

21.8%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.01

Spread vs growth

-100.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · available periodreconcilia total n/d
Return attribution requires positive start and end prices.

Unavailable: positive start/end prices are required.