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HTECH-R.BK$3.58+28.35%
Fair $3.58+0.0%

HTECH-R.BK

Halcyon Technology Public Company Limited

Industrials / Tools & AccessoriesThailand

$3.58

+0.79 (+28.35%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.58Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 56/C
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $103.4M · quality 77.7/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 71/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

56/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 2.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · HTECH-R.BKLocal privado en este navegador · Halcyon Technology Public Company Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.2B

P/E

35.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

4.6x

↓

ROE

2.7%

↓

Gross Margin

34.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.07

↓
52-Week Range$4
$2$4

TradingView lightweight chart

HTECH-R.BK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.580Periodo -53.2%
Fair value: $3.580

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+0.7%

FCF CAGR

-15.2%

FCF margin

11.1%

FCF / Net income

3.94x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.22B · net income $34.4M · FCF $135.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

34.5%-1.0% pts

Operating margin

10.3%-1.7% pts

Net margin

2.8%-5.6% pts

FCF margin

11.1%-7.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.22B$1.22B$1.23B$1.05B$1.20B
Net Income$34.4M$34.4M$113.6M$33.4M$100.5M
EBITDA$199.4M$199.4M$298.1M$200.1M$301.6M
EPS0.110.110.380.110.33
Gross Margin34.5%34.5%36.3%31.0%35.5%
Operating Margin10.3%10.3%11.7%5.7%11.9%
Net Margin2.8%2.8%9.3%3.2%8.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.070.070.100.160.19
Current Ratio6.036.03———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$135.4M$135.4M$85.3M$103.4M$222.4M
Returns
ROE2.7%2.7%8.5%2.7%8.0%
Valuation
P/E35.8035.809.8620.7312.15
EV/EBITDA4.564.562.802.333.39
P/B0.830.830.840.550.95
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.3%-0.3%16.8%-12.3%—
EPS Growth-71.1%-71.1%245.5%-66.7%—
Dividend Yield7.2%7.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

42.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.32

Spread vs growth

-113.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

28.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.38

Spread vs growth

-99.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

18.9%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.62

Spread vs growth

-89.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +16.0%

Total return

+16.0%

Start / end P/E

8.7x → 32.5x

EPS bridge

0.38 → 0.11

Residual

-196.1%

EPS growth-71.1%
Multiple rerating+276.0%
Dividend+7.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-196.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.