StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
HTLD$15.52+3.54%
Fair $15.52+0.0%

HTLD

Heartland Express, Inc.

Industrials / TruckingNasdaqGS

$15.52

+0.53 (+3.54%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $15.52Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-43.3M · quality 44.3/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 13/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 18Warnings: 3unknown: 18
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 4 consecutive years ROE is -6.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · HTLDLocal privado en este navegador · Heartland Express, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.2B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

13.2x

↑

ROE

-6.9%

↓

Gross Margin

8.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.21

↓
52-Week Range$16
$7$16

TradingView lightweight chart

HTLD price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $15.52Periodo +301.2%
Fair value: $15.52

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2008–2025 · 17 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-8.3%

FCF / Net income

1.27x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $805.7M · net income $-52.5M · FCF $-66.9M

2008-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

8.4%— pts

Operating margin

-7.7%-23.3% pts

Net margin

-6.5%-17.7% pts

FCF margin

-8.3%-22.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
Income Statement
Revenue$805.7M$805.7M$1.05B$1.21B$968.0M$607.3M$645.3M$596.8M$610.8M$607.3M$612.9M$736.3M$871.4M$582.3M$545.7M$528.6M$499.5M$459.5M$625.6M
Net Income$-52.5M$-52.5M$-29.7M$14.8M$133.6M$79.3M$70.8M$73.0M$72.7M$75.2M$56.4M$73.1M$84.8M$70.6M$61.5M$69.9M$62.2M$56.9M$70.0M
EBITDA$102.6M$102.6M$162.4M$243.1M$322.7M$209.6M$203.8M$195.2M$191.1M$167.4M$191.1M$228.4M$241.5M$182.0M$152.7M$164.4M$153.4M$137.7M—
EPS-0.67-0.67-0.380.191.691.000.870.890.880.900.680.840.960.830.710.780.690.620.73
Gross Margin8.4%8.4%10.5%12.0%20.7%——————————————
Operating Margin-7.7%-7.7%-2.6%0.1%9.4%17.4%14.5%15.8%14.7%10.5%14.0%15.8%15.1%19.3%17.4%20.2%18.3%17.2%15.7%
Net Margin-6.5%-6.5%-2.8%1.2%13.8%13.1%11.0%12.2%11.9%12.4%9.2%9.9%9.7%12.1%11.3%13.2%12.5%12.4%11.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.210.210.250.370.510.00—————0.000.050.190.00————
Current Ratio1.271.27—————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-66.9M$-66.9M$34.8M$-43.3M$34.1M$-9.2M$-25.5M$-17.4M$-22.7M$-74.6M$69.7M$-26.8M$-32.5M$-24.0M$35.4M$-27.2M$84.1M$22.0M$85.9M
Returns
ROE-6.9%-6.9%-3.6%1.7%15.6%10.9%9.8%10.7%11.8%13.1%11.1%15.5%17.8%17.7%21.2%20.5%18.6%15.5%19.4%
Valuation
P/E———71.749.38——————————————
EV/EBITDA13.1913.196.635.625.07——————————————
P/B1.601.601.071.251.46——————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-23.1%-23.1%-13.2%24.7%—-5.9%8.1%-2.3%0.6%-0.9%-16.8%-15.5%49.7%6.7%3.2%5.8%8.7%-26.5%—
EPS Growth-76.3%-76.3%-300.0%-88.8%—14.9%-2.2%1.1%-2.2%32.4%-19.0%-12.5%15.7%16.9%-9.0%13.0%11.3%-15.1%—
Dividend Yield0.5%0.5%—————————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +73.9%

Total return

+73.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.38 → -0.67

Residual

+73.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+73.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.