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v0.1
HUMBLE.ST$7.61+0.26%
Fair $7.61+0.0%

HUMBLE.ST

Humble Group AB (publ)

Consumer Defensive / Packaged FoodsStockholm

$7.61

+0.02 (+0.26%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $7.61Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $383.0M · quality 48.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 34/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 0.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · HUMBLE.STLocal privado en este navegador · Humble Group AB (publ)
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.4B

P/E

108.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

9.6x

↑

ROE

0.3%

↓

Gross Margin

31.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.46

↑
52-Week Range$8
$7$9

TradingView lightweight chart

HUMBLE.ST price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $7.610Periodo -29.7%
Fair value: $7.610

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+19.0%

FCF CAGR

+52.5%

FCF margin

4.7%

FCF / Net income

22.53x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $8.10B · net income $17.0M · FCF $383.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

31.5%-2.2% pts

Operating margin

3.1%+0.1% pts

Net margin

0.2%+1.0% pts

FCF margin

4.7%+2.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$8.10B$8.10B$7.71B$7.05B$4.80B
Net Income$17.0M$17.0M$109.0M$-106.0M$-36.0M
EBITDA$558.0M$558.0M$655.0M$551.0M$488.0M
EPS0.040.040.25-0.28-0.13
Gross Margin31.5%31.5%31.5%31.4%33.7%
Operating Margin3.1%3.1%3.6%3.6%3.0%
Net Margin0.2%0.2%1.4%-1.5%-0.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.460.460.430.360.65
Current Ratio1.581.58———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$383.0M$383.0M$146.0M$927.0M$108.0M
Returns
ROE0.3%0.3%2.1%-2.2%-0.9%
Valuation
P/E108.71108.7151.56——
EV/EBITDA9.599.5911.4910.1610.52
P/B0.700.701.110.870.70
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth5.0%5.0%9.3%46.9%—
EPS Growth-84.0%-84.0%189.3%-115.4%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

156.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.68

Spread vs growth

-240.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

82.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.82

Spread vs growth

-166.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

41.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.32

Spread vs growth

-125.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -2.4%

Total return

-2.4%

Start / end P/E

31.2x → 190.3x

EPS bridge

0.25 → 0.04

Residual

-428.2%

EPS growth-84.0%
Multiple rerating+509.8%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-428.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.