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HVB.F$7.30+0.00%
Fair $7.30+0.0%

HVB.F

ÜSTRA Hannoversche Verkehrsbetriebe Aktiengesellschaft

Industrials / RailroadsFrankfurt

$7.30

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $7.30Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 19/F
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 23%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-65.4M · quality 68.0/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 38/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

19/100

F

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -30.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · HVB.FLocal privado en este navegador · ÜSTRA Hannoversche Verkehrsbetriebe Aktiengesellschaft
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$190M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-30.6%

↓

Gross Margin

-40.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.46

↑
52-Week Range$7
$6$10

TradingView lightweight chart

HVB.F price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $7.300Periodo +143.3%
Fair value: $7.300

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-33.3%

FCF / Net income

0.70x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $196.2M · net income $-93.6M · FCF $-65.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

-40.5%-15.7% pts

Operating margin

-48.8%-27.4% pts

Net margin

-47.7%-31.6% pts

FCF margin

-33.3%+13.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$196.2M$196.2M$170.5M$174.4M$164.0M
Net Income$-93.6M$-93.6M$-68.7M$-68.4M$-26.5M
EBITDA$-63.3M$-63.3M$-39.1M$-40.0M$-2.5M
EPS-3.55-3.55-2.60-2.59-1.00
Gross Margin-40.5%-40.5%-42.0%-44.2%-24.8%
Operating Margin-48.8%-48.8%-41.9%-44.5%-21.4%
Net Margin-47.7%-47.7%-40.3%-39.2%-16.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.460.460.480.580.28
Current Ratio1.191.19———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-65.4M$-65.4M$-49.2M$-180.6M$-77.1M
Returns
ROE-30.6%-30.6%-24.9%-26.5%-9.7%
Valuation
P/B0.630.630.931.331.02
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth15.1%15.1%-2.2%6.3%—
EPS Growth-36.5%-36.5%-0.4%-159.0%—
Dividend Yield0.7%0.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -24.8%

Total return

-24.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-2.60 → -3.55

Residual

-25.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-25.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.