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HYFM$0.99-2.89%
Fair $0.99+0.0%

HYFM

Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc.

Industrials / Farm & Heavy Construction MachineryNasdaqCM

$0.99

-0.03 (-2.89%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.99Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 14/F
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-3.2M · quality 45.0/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 14/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

14/100

F

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 7Warnings: 2unknown: 7
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Revenue has declined for 4 consecutive years ROE is 4.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · HYFMLocal privado en este navegador · Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

457.8%

↑

Gross Margin

11.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

-2.53

↓
52-Week Range$1
$1$5

TradingView lightweight chart

HYFM price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.990Periodo -99.8%
Fair value: $0.991

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2019–2025 · 6 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-8.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-11.2%

FCF / Net income

0.05x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $134.3M · net income $-289.8M · FCF $-15.1M

2019-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

11.3%-0.2% pts

Operating margin

-33.3%-22.0% pts

Net margin

-215.9%-198.8% pts

FCF margin

-11.2%-5.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Income Statement
Revenue$134.3M$134.3M$190.3M$226.6M$344.5M$479.4M$342.2M$235.1M
Net Income$-289.8M$-289.8M$-66.7M$-64.8M$-285.4M$13.4M$-7.3M$-40.1M
EBITDA$-254.0M$-254.0M$-19.9M$-17.5M$-239.4M$12.2M$11.1M$-19.7M
EPS-62.35-62.35-14.51-14.24-63.503.10-4.60-19.40
Gross Margin11.3%11.3%16.9%16.6%8.5%21.2%18.6%11.5%
Operating Margin-33.3%-33.3%-21.4%-21.9%-25.9%-0.6%1.3%-11.4%
Net Margin-215.9%-215.9%-35.1%-28.6%-82.8%2.8%-2.1%-17.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity-2.53-2.530.760.630.530.200.00—
Current Ratio0.340.34——————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-15.1M$-15.1M$-3.2M$2.8M$13.8M$-50.5M$-46.3M$-14.1M
Returns
ROE457.8%457.8%-29.8%-22.3%-81.6%2.1%-3.4%-427.4%
Valuation
P/B——0.140.140.16———
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-29.4%-29.4%-16.0%-34.2%—40.1%45.6%—
EPS Growth-329.7%-329.7%-1.9%77.6%—167.4%76.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -72.2%

Total return

-72.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-14.51 → -62.35

Residual

-72.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-72.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.