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v0.1
ICOS.MI$11.84-0.81%
Fair $11.84+0.0%

ICOS.MI

Intercos S.p.A.

Consumer Defensive / Household & Personal ProductsMilan

$11.84

-0.10 (-0.81%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $11.84Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $48.2M · quality 76.3/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 77/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · ICOS.MILocal privado en este navegador · Intercos S.p.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.1B

P/E

23.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

9.0x

↑

ROE

10.3%

↑

Gross Margin

21.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.52

↑
52-Week Range$12
$10$14

TradingView lightweight chart

ICOS.MI price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $12.24Periodo -25.0%
Fair value: $11.84

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.8%

FCF CAGR

+15.6%

FCF margin

4.7%

FCF / Net income

0.99x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.05B · net income $49.8M · FCF $49.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

21.0%-0.4% pts

Operating margin

9.9%+0.7% pts

Net margin

4.8%-0.6% pts

FCF margin

4.7%+0.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.05B$1.05B$1.06B$988.2M$835.6M
Net Income$49.8M$49.8M$48.5M$52.3M$44.8M
EBITDA$139.3M$139.3M$138.5M$126.6M$114.4M
EPS0.510.510.510.540.47
Gross Margin21.0%21.0%19.4%20.2%21.4%
Operating Margin9.9%9.9%8.8%9.3%9.2%
Net Margin4.8%4.8%4.6%5.3%5.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.520.520.600.580.69
Current Ratio1.781.78———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$49.4M$49.4M$34.3M$48.2M$31.9M
Returns
ROE10.3%10.3%10.2%11.7%10.8%
Valuation
P/E23.2223.2227.3026.5627.68
EV/EBITDA9.029.0210.3311.7411.82
P/B2.382.382.793.083.01
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-1.7%-1.7%7.8%18.3%—
EPS Growth0.6%0.6%-6.1%14.9%—
Dividend Yield1.6%1.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

27.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.05

Spread vs growth

-26.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

20.0%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.27

Spread vs growth

-19.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

14.9%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$2.05

Spread vs growth

-14.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -12.7%

Total return

-12.7%

Start / end P/E

28.2x → 24.0x

EPS bridge

0.51 → 0.51

Residual

-0.1%

EPS growth+0.6%
Multiple rerating-14.8%
Dividend+1.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.