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INDY.JK$2260.00-0.88%
Fair $2260.00+0.0%

INDY.JK

PT. Indika Energy Tbk

Energy / Thermal CoalJakarta

$2260.00

-20.00 (-0.88%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2260.00Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 32/D
F-Score: 1/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-159.8M · quality 33.7/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 9/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

32/100

D

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 0.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · INDY.JKLocal privado en este navegador · PT. Indika Energy Tbk
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$11.76T

P/E

63.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

77276.5x

↑

ROE

0.5%

↓

Gross Margin

13.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.90

↑
52-Week Range$2260
$1250$4370

TradingView lightweight chart

INDY.JK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,260Periodo -34.0%
Fair value: $2,260

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-22.3%

FCF CAGR

-77.8%

FCF margin

0.5%

FCF / Net income

1.55x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.03B · net income $6.0M · FCF $9.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

13.3%-20.2% pts

Operating margin

5.5%-18.6% pts

Net margin

0.3%-10.1% pts

FCF margin

0.5%-19.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.03B$2.03B$2.45B$3.03B$4.33B
Net Income$6.0M$6.0M$10.1M$119.7M$452.7M
EBITDA$152.2M$152.2M$169.9M$361.4M$1.24B
EPS0.000.000.000.020.09
Gross Margin13.3%13.3%13.6%18.2%33.5%
Operating Margin5.5%5.5%6.6%9.0%24.1%
Net Margin0.3%0.3%0.4%4.0%10.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.900.900.890.890.92
Current Ratio1.891.89———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$9.3M$9.3M$-159.8M$-318.1M$852.4M
Returns
ROE0.5%0.5%0.8%9.7%38.1%
Valuation
P/E63.5463.54750000.0068695.6528078.25
EV/EBITDA77276.5077276.5043635.3322749.2810223.29
P/B9841.409841.406149.946667.7210674.13
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-17.0%-17.0%-19.2%-30.2%—
EPS Growth-36.8%-36.8%-91.7%-73.5%—
Dividend Yield0.4%0.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

5408.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$200.54

Spread vs growth

-5445.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

1051.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$242.65

Spread vs growth

-1088.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

255.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$390.79

Spread vs growth

-292.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +54.7%

Total return

+54.7%

Start / end P/E

771052.6x → 1883333.3x

EPS bridge

0.00 → 0.00

Residual

-53.1%

EPS growth-36.8%
Multiple rerating+144.3%
Dividend+0.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-53.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.