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ING.AX$2.06-0.48%
Fair $2.06+0.0%

ING.AX

Inghams Group Limited

Consumer Defensive / Farm ProductsASX

$2.06

-0.01 (-0.48%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.06Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 39/D
F-Score: 6/9
High Debt

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $279.7M · quality 52.3/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 85/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

39/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 7.27, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · ING.AXLocal privado en este navegador · Inghams Group Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$766M

P/E

13.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

9.7x

↑

ROE

46.2%

↑

Gross Margin

19.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

7.27

↑
52-Week Range$2
$2$4

TradingView lightweight chart

ING.AX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.060Periodo -36.0%
Fair value: $2.060

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.9%

FCF CAGR

-11.7%

FCF margin

7.9%

FCF / Net income

2.53x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.26B · net income $101.5M · FCF $256.8M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

19.0%+0.8% pts

Operating margin

5.2%+8.4% pts

Net margin

3.1%-0.0% pts

FCF margin

7.9%-6.1% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$3.26B$3.26B$3.04B$2.71B$2.67B
Net Income$101.5M$101.5M$60.4M$35.1M$83.3M
EBITDA$232.0M$232.0M$420.9M$319.2M$393.5M
EPS0.270.270.160.090.22
Gross Margin19.0%19.0%16.8%14.9%18.2%
Operating Margin5.2%5.2%-4.0%-6.3%-3.3%
Net Margin3.1%3.1%2.0%1.3%3.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity7.277.278.7611.3913.62
Current Ratio1.221.22———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$256.8M$256.8M$287.1M$279.7M$373.6M
Returns
ROE46.2%46.2%29.9%22.2%50.9%
Valuation
P/E13.7313.7316.7328.9117.67
EV/EBITDA9.729.726.288.419.00
P/B3.503.505.016.419.00
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.2%7.2%12.2%1.7%—
EPS Growth67.9%67.9%72.2%-57.9%—
Dividend Yield3.9%3.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-12.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.18

Spread vs growth

80.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-4.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.22

Spread vs growth

72.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

2.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.36

Spread vs growth

65.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -41.5%

Total return

-41.5%

Start / end P/E

23.3x → 7.6x

EPS bridge

0.16 → 0.27

Residual

-45.8%

EPS growth+67.9%
Multiple rerating-67.5%
Dividend+3.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-45.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.