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ITC.BK$16.30+1.24%
Fair $16.30+0.0%

ITC.BK

i-Tail Corporation Public Company Limited

Consumer Defensive / Packaged FoodsThailand

$16.30

+0.20 (+1.24%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $16.30Fund rank 35/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 42/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.9B · quality 72.0/100

Data gap 35/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 67/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

42/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · ITC.BKLocal privado en este navegador · i-Tail Corporation Public Company Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$48.9B

P/E

15.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

11.3x

↑

ROE

12.5%

↑

Gross Margin

25.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$16
$10$18

TradingView lightweight chart

ITC.BK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $16.30Periodo -47.4%
Fair value: $16.30

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-6.8%

FCF CAGR

+32.0%

FCF margin

10.7%

FCF / Net income

0.65x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $18.22B · net income $2.98B · FCF $1.95B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

25.1%+1.0% pts

Operating margin

14.6%-4.9% pts

Net margin

16.3%-3.5% pts

FCF margin

10.7%+6.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$18.22B$18.22B$17.73B$15.58B$22.53B
Net Income$2.98B$2.98B$3.60B$2.28B$4.47B
EBITDA$3.74B$3.74B$4.31B$2.96B$5.13B
EPS0.990.991.200.762.52
Gross Margin25.1%25.1%27.7%19.5%24.1%
Operating Margin14.6%14.6%18.5%11.9%19.5%
Net Margin16.3%16.3%20.3%14.6%19.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.000.000.00
Current Ratio8.058.05———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.95B$1.95B$2.62B$1.58B$846.7M
Returns
ROE12.5%12.5%14.9%9.9%19.8%
Valuation
P/E15.5215.5218.9227.2410.12
EV/EBITDA11.3411.3414.5517.836.71
P/B2.052.052.822.692.00
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.8%2.8%13.8%-30.9%—
EPS Growth-17.5%-17.5%57.9%-69.8%—
Dividend Yield5.6%5.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

13.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.45

Spread vs growth

-31.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

12.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.75

Spread vs growth

-29.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

11.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$2.82

Spread vs growth

-28.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +41.4%

Total return

+41.4%

Start / end P/E

10.0x → 16.5x

EPS bridge

1.20 → 0.99

Residual

-11.3%

EPS growth-17.5%
Multiple rerating+64.6%
Dividend+5.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-11.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.