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ITW$247.66+0.75%
Fair $247.66+0.0%

ITW

Illinois Tool Works Inc.

Industrials / Specialty Industrial MachineryNYSE

$247.66

+1.85 (+0.75%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $247.66Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 24/D
F-Score: 3/9
High Debt

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $2.8B · quality 57.0/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 82/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

24/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 19Warnings: 1unknown: 19
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.86, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · ITWLocal privado en este navegador · Illinois Tool Works Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$71.3B

P/E

23.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

17.3x

↑

ROE

95.1%

↑

Gross Margin

44.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

2.86

↑
52-Week Range$248
$239$303

TradingView lightweight chart

ITW price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $247.66Periodo +675.5%
Fair value: $247.66

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2007–2025 · 18 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.0%

FCF CAGR

+1.3%

FCF margin

16.9%

FCF / Net income

0.88x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $16.04B · net income $3.07B · FCF $2.71B

2007-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

44.1%— pts

Operating margin

26.3%+10.0% pts

Net margin

19.1%+7.5% pts

FCF margin

16.9%+3.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
Income Statement
Revenue$16.04B$16.04B$15.90B$16.11B$15.93B$14.46B$12.57B$14.11B$14.77B$14.31B$13.60B$13.40B$14.48B$14.13B$14.79B$14.52B$15.42B$13.57B$17.10B$16.11B
Net Income$3.07B$3.07B$3.49B$2.96B$3.03B$2.69B$2.11B$2.52B$2.56B$1.69B$2.04B$1.90B$2.95B$1.68B$2.87B$2.07B$1.50B$972.7M$1.52B$1.87B
EBITDA$4.66B$4.66B$5.11B$4.48B$4.46B———————————————
EPS10.4910.4911.719.749.778.516.637.747.604.865.705.137.283.746.064.192.991.942.913.36
Gross Margin44.1%44.1%44.3%42.2%40.8%———————————————
Operating Margin26.3%26.3%26.8%25.1%23.8%24.1%22.9%24.1%24.3%24.3%22.5%21.4%19.9%17.8%16.7%16.3%14.6%10.2%14.6%16.3%
Net Margin19.1%19.1%21.9%18.4%19.0%18.6%16.8%17.9%17.4%11.8%15.0%14.2%20.3%11.9%19.4%14.3%9.7%7.2%8.9%11.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.862.862.442.782.57———————————————
Current Ratio1.191.19——————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$2.71B$2.71B$2.84B$3.08B$1.94B$2.26B$2.57B$2.67B$2.45B$2.10B$2.03B$2.02B$1.25B$2.16B$1.69B$1.60B$1.20B$1.91B$1.86B$2.13B
Returns
ROE95.1%95.1%105.2%98.2%98.3%———————————————
Valuation
P/E23.0023.0021.5426.4823.23———————————————
EV/EBITDA17.3517.3516.1119.0917.45———————————————
P/B22.4522.4522.6626.0022.83———————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth0.9%0.9%-1.3%1.1%—15.0%-10.9%-4.5%3.2%5.3%1.4%-7.4%2.5%-4.4%1.9%-5.8%13.6%-20.6%6.1%—
EPS Growth-10.4%-10.4%20.2%-0.3%—28.4%-14.3%1.8%56.4%-14.7%11.1%-29.5%94.7%-38.3%44.6%40.1%54.1%-33.3%-13.4%—
Dividend Yield2.6%2.6%——————————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

28.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$21.98

Spread vs growth

-38.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

20.4%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$26.59

Spread vs growth

-30.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

15.1%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$42.82

Spread vs growth

-25.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +4.7%

Total return

+4.7%

Start / end P/E

20.7x → 23.6x

EPS bridge

11.71 → 10.49

Residual

-1.5%

EPS growth-10.4%
Multiple rerating+13.9%
Dividend+2.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.