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JAKK$21.77-0.27%
Fair $21.77+0.0%

JAKK

JAKKS Pacific, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical / LeisureNasdaqGS

$21.77

-0.06 (-0.27%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $21.77Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 34/D
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $27.7M · quality 52.0/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 23/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

34/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 17Warnings: 2unknown: 17
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 4.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · JAKKLocal privado en este navegador · JAKKS Pacific, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$249M

P/E

31.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

9.9x

↑

ROE

4.0%

↓

Gross Margin

32.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.21

↓
52-Week Range$22
$15$24

TradingView lightweight chart

JAKK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $21.77Periodo -88.4%
Fair value: $21.77

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2009–2025 · 16 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-2.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.2%

FCF / Net income

-0.11x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $570.7M · net income $9.9M · FCF $-1.1M

2009-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

32.4%+7.2% pts

Operating margin

2.5%+58.8% pts

Net margin

1.7%+49.7% pts

FCF margin

-0.2%-10.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
Income Statement
Revenue$570.7M$570.7M$691.0M$711.6M$796.2M$621.1M$515.9M$598.6M$567.8M$613.1M$706.6M$745.7M$810.1M$632.9M$666.8M$677.8M$747.3M$803.7M
Net Income$9.9M$9.9M$33.9M$38.4M$91.4M$-6.0M$-14.3M$-55.5M$-42.4M$-83.1M$1.2M$23.3M$21.5M$-53.9M$-104.8M$8.5M$47.0M$-385.5M
EBITDA$25.5M$25.5M$50.9M$60.0M$71.8M$49.0M$23.8M$-155000.00$-15.1M$-43.2M$40.0M$49.4M$50.3M$-23.1M$8.3M$23.7M$75.4M$-416.5M
EPS0.860.863.143.488.99-0.98-4.27—-18.30-38.900.707.107.00-24.30-43.703.2015.20-140.20
Gross Margin32.4%32.4%30.8%31.4%26.5%29.5%29.0%26.6%27.4%25.4%31.6%30.6%29.1%24.6%29.7%28.6%32.8%25.2%
Operating Margin2.5%2.5%5.7%8.3%7.7%6.2%2.5%-3.0%-5.7%-10.5%2.4%4.1%3.9%-7.0%-2.0%0.2%6.7%-56.3%
Net Margin1.7%1.7%4.9%5.4%11.5%-1.0%-2.8%-9.3%-7.5%-13.6%0.2%3.1%2.7%-8.5%-15.7%1.3%6.3%-48.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.210.210.240.130.601.742.9117.91——————0.34———
Current Ratio1.961.96————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.1M$-1.1M$27.7M$57.5M$75.7M$-14.1M$35.3M$12.4M$-12.4M$-3.5M$2.0M—$-89.6M$-32.6M$11.1M$31.8M$55.9M$82.4M
Returns
ROE4.0%4.0%14.1%20.3%62.7%-10.6%-121.7%-1889.4%-83.5%-88.8%0.9%15.2%14.9%-36.3%-50.6%2.2%11.4%-103.6%
Valuation
P/E31.1031.109.0410.062.19—————————————
EV/EBITDA9.879.876.005.382.82—————————————
P/B1.001.001.331.961.37—————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-17.4%-17.4%-2.9%-10.6%—20.4%-13.8%5.4%-7.4%-13.2%-5.2%-7.9%28.0%-5.1%-1.6%-9.3%-7.0%—
EPS Growth-72.6%-72.6%-9.8%-61.3%—77.0%——53.0%-5657.1%-90.1%1.4%128.8%44.4%-1465.6%-78.9%110.8%—
Dividend Yield4.6%4.6%————————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

31.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.93

Spread vs growth

-103.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

22.1%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.34

Spread vs growth

-94.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

15.9%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.76

Spread vs growth

-88.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +15.7%

Total return

+15.7%

Start / end P/E

6.2x → 25.3x

EPS bridge

3.14 → 0.86

Residual

-222.0%

EPS growth-72.6%
Multiple rerating+305.7%
Dividend+4.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-222.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.