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JARR.JK$1605.00+0.94%
Fair $1605.00+0.0%

JARR.JK

PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk

Consumer Defensive / Farm ProductsJakarta

$1605.00

+15.00 (+0.94%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1605.00Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $182.9B · quality 33.7/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 8/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · JARR.JKLocal privado en este navegador · PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$14.82T

P/E

59.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

34.4x

↑

ROE

14.0%

↑

Gross Margin

17.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.93

↑
52-Week Range$1605
$352$9600

TradingView lightweight chart

JARR.JK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,615Periodo +331.8%
Fair value: $1,605

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-2.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

6.5%

FCF / Net income

1.03x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.28T · net income $268.48B · FCF $277.41B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

17.5%+9.7% pts

Operating margin

10.6%+5.4% pts

Net margin

6.3%+5.4% pts

FCF margin

6.5%+11.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$4278.88B$4278.88B$3864.89B$4442.28B$4642.34B
Net Income$268.48B$268.48B$260.73B$77.27B$41.68B
EBITDA$470.59B$470.59B$427.62B$269.67B$255.43B
EPS29.0929.0928.258.375.80
Gross Margin17.5%17.5%15.8%8.7%7.9%
Operating Margin10.6%10.6%10.8%6.0%5.2%
Net Margin6.3%6.3%6.7%1.7%0.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.930.931.091.341.14
Current Ratio4.854.85———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$277.41B$277.41B$182.95B$-180.40B$-227.68B
Returns
ROE14.0%14.0%15.3%5.4%3.3%
Valuation
P/E59.1659.1611.4028.9144.83
EV/EBITDA34.4534.4510.7014.8312.16
P/B7.737.731.751.551.47
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth10.7%10.7%-13.0%-4.3%—
EPS Growth3.0%3.0%237.5%44.3%—
Dividend Yield0.3%0.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

69.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$142.42

Spread vs growth

-66.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

42.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$172.32

Spread vs growth

-39.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

25.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$277.53

Spread vs growth

-22.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +323.1%

Total return

+323.1%

Start / end P/E

13.5x → 55.5x

EPS bridge

28.25 → 29.09

Residual

+9.2%

EPS growth+3.0%
Multiple rerating+310.6%
Dividend+0.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+9.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.