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JBSS$74.03+0.24%
Fair $74.03+0.0%

JBSS

John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc.

Consumer Defensive / Packaged FoodsNasdaqGS

$74.03

+0.18 (+0.24%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $74.03Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 51/C
F-Score: 2/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 31% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $73.4M · quality 59.0/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 41/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

51/100

C

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 16Warnings: 0unknown: 16
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · JBSSLocal privado en este navegador · John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$865M

P/E

13.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

8.5x

↓

ROE

16.3%

↑

Gross Margin

18.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.27

↓
52-Week Range$74
$59$85

TradingView lightweight chart

JBSS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $74.03Periodo +1722.3%
Fair value: $74.03

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2010–2025 · 15 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1.8%

FCF / Net income

-0.34x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.11B · net income $58.9M · FCF $-20.2M

2010-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

18.4%— pts

Operating margin

7.5%— pts

Net margin

5.3%— pts

FCF margin

-1.8%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
Income Statement
Revenue$1.11B$1.11B$1.07B$999.7M$955.9M$858.5M$880.1M$876.2M$888.9M$846.6M———————
Net Income$58.9M$58.9M$60.2M$62.9M$61.8M$59.7M$54.1M$39.5M$32.5M$36.1M$30.4M$29.3M$26.3M$21.8M$17.1M$2.8M$14.4M
EBITDA$112.9M$112.9M$109.1M$109.6M$103.3M$103.5M$96.5M$75.6M$71.6M$76.0M$69.7M$68.2M$63.3M$58.3M$50.1M$27.2M$45.5M
EPS5.035.035.155.405.335.174.693.432.843.172.682.612.361.981.580.261.34
Gross Margin18.4%18.4%20.1%21.2%20.9%21.5%20.0%18.1%15.6%16.8%———————
Operating Margin7.5%7.5%7.7%8.9%8.8%9.9%8.9%6.7%6.3%7.1%———————
Net Margin5.3%5.3%5.6%6.3%6.5%7.0%6.1%4.5%3.7%4.3%———————
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.270.270.160.040.19————————0.200.24——
Current Ratio2.302.30———————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-20.2M$-20.2M$73.4M$103.9M$1.9M$79.5M$48.6M$68.4M$52.9M$41.8M$74.2M——$28.5M$8.4M$2.0M$33.6M
Returns
ROE16.3%16.3%18.7%21.5%22.2%24.6%22.7%15.5%13.4%15.3%12.1%12.1%11.6%10.1%8.5%1.5%8.0%
Valuation
P/E12.9612.9618.3320.5614.07————————————
EV/EBITDA8.558.5510.6011.898.92————————————
P/B2.412.413.424.423.12————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.8%3.8%6.7%4.6%—-2.5%0.4%-1.4%5.0%————————
EPS Growth-2.3%-2.3%-4.6%1.3%—10.2%36.7%20.8%-10.4%18.3%2.7%10.6%19.2%25.3%507.7%-80.6%—
Dividend Yield1.2%1.2%———————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

9.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$6.57

Spread vs growth

-11.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

9.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$7.95

Spread vs growth

-11.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

9.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$12.80

Spread vs growth

-12.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +21.3%

Total return

+21.3%

Start / end P/E

12.0x → 14.7x

EPS bridge

5.15 → 5.03

Residual

-0.5%

EPS growth-2.3%
Multiple rerating+22.9%
Dividend+1.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.