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JCI$133.91-0.11%
Fair $133.91+0.0%

JCI

Johnson Controls International plc

Industrials / Building Products & EquipmentNYSE

$133.91

-0.15 (-0.11%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $133.91Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 41/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 22% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.6B · quality 69.7/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 77/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

41/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 19Warnings: 0unknown: 19
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · JCILocal privado en este navegador · Johnson Controls International plc
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$81.7B

P/E

41.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

31.7x

↑

ROE

25.5%

↑

Gross Margin

36.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.76

↑
52-Week Range$134
$99$147

TradingView lightweight chart

JCI price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $133.91Periodo +69.5%
Fair value: $133.91

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2007–2025 · 18 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

4.1%

FCF / Net income

0.29x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $23.60B · net income $3.29B · FCF $965.0M

2007-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

36.4%— pts

Operating margin

12.0%+21.4% pts

Net margin

13.9%+23.4% pts

FCF margin

4.1%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
Income Statement
Revenue$23.60B$23.60B$22.95B$22.33B$20.64B$23.67B$22.32B$23.97B$23.40B$22.84B$20.84B$17.10B$38.75B$10.06B$9.89B$10.56B$11.02B$16.88B$19.73B$18.48B
Net Income$3.29B$3.29B$1.71B$1.85B$1.53B$1.64B$631.0M$5.67B$2.16B$1.61B$-868.0M$1.56B$1.22B$536.0M$472.0M$1.72B$1.13B$-1.80B$1.55B$-1.74B
EBITDA$3.06B$3.06B$2.72B$2.12B$2.05B————————$1.09B$957.0M$1.40B$1.06B$-380.0M$3.04B$-584.0M
EPS5.035.032.522.692.192.270.846.492.321.71-1.292.361.801.191.073.762.42-1.981.66-1.83
Gross Margin36.4%36.4%35.2%34.9%34.4%34.1%33.2%32.1%32.8%33.0%27.1%26.5%16.3%———————
Operating Margin12.0%12.0%10.5%10.8%9.7%————————7.1%5.8%9.3%5.6%-8.9%9.6%-9.4%
Net Margin13.9%13.9%7.4%8.3%7.4%6.9%2.8%23.7%9.2%7.1%-4.2%9.1%3.1%5.3%4.8%16.3%10.3%-10.7%7.9%-9.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.760.760.590.530.55————————0.290.300.290.300.33——
Current Ratio1.041.04——————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$965.0M$965.0M$1.60B$1.77B$1.50B———————————————
Returns
ROE25.5%25.5%10.6%11.2%9.4%9.3%3.6%28.7%10.2%7.9%-3.6%15.1%10.8%10.5%9.5%12.1%8.0%-13.9%10.0%-11.1%
Valuation
P/E40.9540.9530.0319.4623.03———————————————
EV/EBITDA31.7231.7222.0820.7920.59———————————————
P/B6.786.783.182.182.17———————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.8%2.8%2.8%8.2%—6.1%-6.9%2.4%2.5%9.6%21.9%-55.9%285.3%1.7%-6.3%-4.2%-34.7%-14.4%6.8%—
EPS Growth99.6%99.6%-6.3%22.8%—170.2%-87.1%179.7%35.7%232.6%-154.7%31.1%50.8%11.8%-71.6%55.4%222.3%-219.1%190.6%—
Dividend Yield1.2%1.2%——————————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

33.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$11.88

Spread vs growth

66.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

23.4%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$14.38

Spread vs growth

76.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

16.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$23.16

Spread vs growth

83.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +33.3%

Total return

+33.3%

Start / end P/E

40.2x → 26.6x

EPS bridge

2.52 → 5.03

Residual

-33.7%

EPS growth+99.6%
Multiple rerating-33.8%
Dividend+1.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-33.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.