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JMIA$7.17-1.24%
Fair $7.17+0.0%

JMIA

Jumia Technologies AG

Consumer Cyclical / Internet RetailNYSE

$7.17

-0.09 (-1.24%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $7.17Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 22/D
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-60.9M · quality 60.7/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 29/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

22/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -2.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · JMIALocal privado en este navegador · Jumia Technologies AG
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$888M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-234.3%

↓

Gross Margin

53.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.45

↑
52-Week Range$7
$3$15

TradingView lightweight chart

JMIA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $7.170Periodo -71.8%
Fair value: $7.170

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-2.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-27.8%

FCF / Net income

0.85x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $188.9M · net income $-61.6M · FCF $-52.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

53.9%-4.3% pts

Operating margin

-32.8%+61.2% pts

Net margin

-32.6%+84.6% pts

FCF margin

-27.8%+95.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$188.9M$188.9M$167.5M$186.4M$203.3M
Net Income$-61.6M$-61.6M$-99.1M$-104.2M$-238.2M
EBITDA$-49.4M$-49.4M$-86.4M$-86.6M$-192.8M
EPS-0.50-0.50-0.81-1.03-2.36
Gross Margin53.9%53.9%59.4%57.5%58.1%
Operating Margin-32.8%-32.8%-38.4%-38.9%-94.0%
Net Margin-32.6%-32.6%-59.2%-55.9%-117.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.450.450.130.090.08
Current Ratio1.021.02———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-52.6M$-52.6M$-60.9M$-75.2M$-251.3M
Returns
ROE-234.3%-234.3%-114.2%-150.4%-136.4%
Valuation
P/B33.7033.705.574.921.95
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth12.8%12.8%-10.1%-8.3%—
EPS Growth38.2%38.2%21.4%56.4%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +114.7%

Total return

+114.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.81 → -0.50

Residual

+114.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+114.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.