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JSMR.JK$3040.00+1.35%
Fair $3040.00+0.0%

JSMR.JK

PT Jasa Marga (Persero) Tbk

Industrials / Infrastructure OperationsJakarta

$3040.00

+40.00 (+1.35%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3040.00Fund rank 20/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 32/D
F-Score: 2/9
High Debt

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 13%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-6.8T · quality 33.3/100

Data gap 20/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

32/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.07, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · JSMR.JKLocal privado en este navegador · PT Jasa Marga (Persero) Tbk
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$22.06T

P/E

6.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

9.1x

↓

ROE

10.1%

↑

Gross Margin

39.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

2.07

↑
52-Week Range$3040
$2890$4180

TradingView lightweight chart

JSMR.JK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3,010Periodo +47.2%
Fair value: $3,040

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+21.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-24.8%

FCF / Net income

-2.03x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $29.89T · net income $3.66T · FCF $-7.43T

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

39.4%-5.3% pts

Operating margin

30.7%+0.5% pts

Net margin

12.2%-4.3% pts

FCF margin

-24.8%-22.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$29890.25B$29890.25B$31755.92B$21318.60B$16582.85B
Net Income$3659.53B$3659.53B$4533.01B$6793.55B$2746.88B
EBITDA$10001.95B$10001.95B$9445.13B$11164.58B$7118.35B
EPS504.00504.00625.00936.03378.00
Gross Margin39.4%39.4%35.6%42.0%44.7%
Operating Margin30.7%30.7%27.7%32.5%30.2%
Net Margin12.2%12.2%14.3%31.9%16.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.072.071.912.552.35
Current Ratio0.580.58———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-7425.97B$-7425.97B$-6812.90B$-1617.32B$-460.62B
Returns
ROE10.1%10.1%13.3%24.4%12.6%
Valuation
P/E6.296.297.105.018.07
EV/EBITDA9.059.059.749.009.12
P/B0.610.610.951.221.01
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-5.9%-5.9%49.0%28.6%—
EPS Growth-19.4%-19.4%-33.2%147.6%—
Dividend Yield5.2%5.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-18.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$269.75

Spread vs growth

-0.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-8.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$326.40

Spread vs growth

-11.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

0.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$525.67

Spread vs growth

-19.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -21.4%

Total return

-21.4%

Start / end P/E

6.6x → 6.0x

EPS bridge

625.00 → 504.00

Residual

+1.7%

EPS growth-19.4%
Multiple rerating-9.0%
Dividend+5.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+1.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.