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v0.1
JUMBO.BO$57.59-2.32%
Fair $57.59+0.0%

JUMBO.BO

Jumbo Bag Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Packaging & ContainersBSE

$57.59

-1.37 (-2.32%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $57.59Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 38/D
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $73.6M · quality 37.3/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 28/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

38/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · JUMBO.BOLocal privado en este navegador · Jumbo Bag Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$482M

P/E

5.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

8.9x

↓

ROE

8.7%

↑

Gross Margin

26.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.25

↑
52-Week Range$58
$49$105

TradingView lightweight chart

JUMBO.BO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $57.59Periodo +1165.7%
Fair value: $57.59

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.5%

FCF / Net income

-1.75x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.26B · net income $32.4M · FCF $-56.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

26.3%+4.3% pts

Operating margin

4.9%-0.4% pts

Net margin

2.6%+1.7% pts

FCF margin

-4.5%-3.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.26B$1.26B$1.05B$1.08B$1.27B
Net Income$32.4M$32.4M$11.9M$14.7M$10.6M
EBITDA$102.5M$102.5M$68.7M$69.1M$60.0M
EPS3.873.871.421.761.27
Gross Margin26.3%26.3%44.0%25.1%22.0%
Operating Margin4.9%4.9%4.6%4.7%5.3%
Net Margin2.6%2.6%1.1%1.4%0.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.251.251.131.321.56
Current Ratio1.351.35———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-56.5M$-56.5M$73.6M$82.4M$-14.1M
Returns
ROE8.7%8.7%3.5%4.5%3.3%
Valuation
P/E5.885.8843.0610.6218.50
EV/EBITDA8.948.9412.888.3311.49
P/B1.291.291.520.480.62
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth20.5%20.5%-3.1%-14.5%—
EPS Growth172.5%172.5%-19.3%38.6%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

9.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$5.11

Spread vs growth

162.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

9.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$6.18

Spread vs growth

162.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

9.9%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$9.96

Spread vs growth

162.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -5.1%

Total return

-5.1%

Start / end P/E

42.8x → 14.9x

EPS bridge

1.42 → 3.87

Residual

-112.5%

EPS growth+172.5%
Multiple rerating-65.2%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-112.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.