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KAL.JO$4559.00-0.46%
Fair $4559.00+0.0%

KAL.JO

KAL Group Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Specialty RetailJohannesburg

$4559.00

-21.00 (-0.46%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4559.00Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 47/C
F-Score: 6/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $735.7M · quality 66.0/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 51/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

47/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · KAL.JOLocal privado en este navegador · KAL Group Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.2B

P/E

6.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

306.7x

↑

ROE

11.7%

↑

Gross Margin

15.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.63

↑
52-Week Range$4559
$3669$5349

TradingView lightweight chart

KAL.JO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4,559Periodo -28.7%
Fair value: $4,559

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+9.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

4.4%

FCF / Net income

2.23x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $20.31B · net income $402.7M · FCF $899.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

15.2%+2.5% pts

Operating margin

3.2%+0.0% pts

Net margin

2.0%-0.5% pts

FCF margin

4.4%+4.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$20.31B$20.31B$21.73B$22.40B$15.70B
Net Income$402.7M$402.7M$395.3M$426.9M$396.4M
EBITDA$1.06B$1.06B$1.08B$1.13B$827.1M
EPS——5.626.035.53
Gross Margin15.2%15.2%13.7%13.0%12.8%
Operating Margin3.2%3.2%3.0%3.1%3.2%
Net Margin2.0%2.0%1.8%1.9%2.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.630.630.830.861.03
Current Ratio1.231.23———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$899.4M$899.4M$735.7M$636.7M$-4.5M
Returns
ROE11.7%11.7%12.4%14.6%14.7%
Valuation
P/E6.616.61894.60557.00730.26
EV/EBITDA306.74306.74329.90212.81352.86
P/B93.5993.59110.6281.17107.56
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-6.6%-6.6%-3.0%42.7%—
EPS Growth——-6.8%9.0%—
Dividend Yield4.9%4.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +19.7%

Total return

+19.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

5.62 → n/d

Residual

+14.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+4.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+14.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.