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KIE.L$201.60-2.70%
Fair $201.60+0.0%

KIE.L

Kier Group plc

Industrials / Engineering & ConstructionLSE

$201.60

-5.60 (-2.70%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $201.60Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 38/D
F-Score: 5/9
High Debt

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $175.1M · quality 41.7/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 62/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

38/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 3.03, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · KIE.LLocal privado en este navegador · Kier Group plc
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$879M

P/E

15.5x

↓

EV/EBITDA

478.8x

↑

ROE

8.2%

↑

Gross Margin

8.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

3.03

↑
52-Week Range$202
$167$254

TradingView lightweight chart

KIE.L price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $201.60Periodo +0.1%
Fair value: $201.60

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.2%

FCF CAGR

+77.1%

FCF margin

5.4%

FCF / Net income

4.96x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.91B · net income $42.7M · FCF $211.6M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

8.6%-0.1% pts

Operating margin

2.4%+1.1% pts

Net margin

1.1%+1.1% pts

FCF margin

5.4%+4.3% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$3.91B$3.91B$3.38B$3.14B$3.26B
Net Income$42.7M$42.7M$41.1M$12.7M$-300000.00
EBITDA$190.2M$190.2M$174.1M$108.7M$119.2M
EPS0.100.100.090.03—
Gross Margin8.6%8.6%9.1%8.4%8.7%
Operating Margin2.4%2.4%2.0%0.6%1.3%
Net Margin1.1%1.1%1.2%0.4%-0.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity3.033.032.950.841.29
Current Ratio0.860.86———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$211.6M$211.6M$175.1M$57.1M$38.1M
Returns
ROE8.2%8.2%8.0%2.3%-0.1%
Valuation
P/E15.5115.51817.202571.43—
EV/EBITDA478.84478.84193.45302.98—
P/B175.05175.0565.3659.02—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth15.5%15.5%7.5%-3.6%—
EPS Growth2.2%2.2%232.1%——
Dividend Yield3.8%3.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

473.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$17.89

Spread vs growth

-471.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

196.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$21.65

Spread vs growth

-194.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

80.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$34.86

Spread vs growth

-78.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +21.2%

Total return

+21.2%

Start / end P/E

1845.2x → 2122.1x

EPS bridge

0.09 → 0.10

Residual

+0.3%

EPS growth+2.2%
Multiple rerating+15.0%
Dividend+3.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.