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v0.1
KLC$4.02+4.69%
Fair $4.02+0.0%

KLC

KinderCare Learning Companies, Inc.

Consumer Defensive / Education & Training ServicesNYSE

$4.02

+0.18 (+4.69%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4.02Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 17/F
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $110.3M · quality 41.0/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 44/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

17/100

F

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 5Warnings: 1unknown: 5
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -14.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · KLCLocal privado en este navegador · KinderCare Learning Companies, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$476M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-14.9%

↓

Gross Margin

N/A

•

Debt/Equity

1.22

↑
52-Week Range$4
$2$13

TradingView lightweight chart

KLC price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.840Periodo -85.3%
Fair value: $4.020

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2026 · 4 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.0%

FCF CAGR

-14.1%

FCF margin

4.0%

FCF / Net income

-0.98x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.73B · net income $-112.9M · FCF $110.3M

2022-FY → 2026-FY

Gross margin

—— pts

Operating margin

-0.7%-19.4% pts

Net margin

-4.1%-14.2% pts

FCF margin

4.0%-5.3% pts
MetricTTM
2026
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.73B$2.73B$2.73B$2.66B$2.51B$2.17B
Net Income$-112.9M$-112.9M$-112.9M$-92.8M$102.6M$219.2M
EBITDA$103.9M$103.9M$114.6M$209.9M$391.9M$477.7M
EPS-0.95-0.95-0.95-0.961.132.43
Gross Margin——22.1%23.7%27.3%34.2%
Operating Margin-0.7%-0.7%6.7%3.4%11.5%18.7%
Net Margin-4.1%-4.1%-4.1%-3.5%4.1%10.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.221.223.342.775.317.01
Current Ratio——0.73———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$110.3M$110.3M$110.3M$-16.4M$174.5M$202.2M
Returns
ROE-14.9%-14.9%-14.9%-10.7%20.2%53.8%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA——25.0319.56——
P/B——0.632.06——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.6%2.6%2.6%6.1%15.9%—
EPS Growth1.0%1.0%1.0%-184.6%-53.2%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -67.2%

Total return

-67.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.95 → -0.95

Residual

-67.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-67.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.