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KME.AX$0.55-1.36%
Fair $0.55+0.0%

KME.AX

Kip McGrath Education Centres Limited

Consumer Defensive / Education & Training ServicesASX

$0.55

-0.01 (-1.36%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.55Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 48/C
F-Score: 1/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $2.8M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

48/100

C

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -28.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · KME.AXLocal privado en este navegador · Kip McGrath Education Centres Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$29M

P/E

9.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.5x

↓

ROE

-28.5%

↓

Gross Margin

99.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.17

↓
52-Week Range$1
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

KME.AX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.545Periodo +9.0%
Fair value: $0.545

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+8.3%

FCF CAGR

+149.5%

FCF margin

13.7%

FCF / Net income

-0.81x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $31.3M · net income $-5.3M · FCF $4.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

99.3%+0.3% pts

Operating margin

10.3%+0.3% pts

Net margin

-17.0%-24.6% pts

FCF margin

13.7%+12.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$31.3M$31.3M$32.2M$26.6M$24.6M
Net Income$-5.3M$-5.3M$1.3M$1.9M$1.9M
EBITDA$7.8M$7.8M$6.5M$6.7M$6.1M
EPS-0.09-0.090.020.030.03
Gross Margin99.3%99.3%99.3%99.1%98.9%
Operating Margin10.3%10.3%5.4%9.4%10.0%
Net Margin-17.0%-17.0%4.1%7.2%7.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.170.170.160.160.14
Current Ratio1.361.36———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$4.3M$4.3M$-1.6M$2.8M$277000.00
Returns
ROE-28.5%-28.5%5.6%8.3%8.6%
Valuation
P/E9.089.0813.6818.3829.83
EV/EBITDA3.503.502.514.458.40
P/B1.661.660.761.532.55
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-2.8%-2.8%20.9%8.2%—
EPS Growth-519.3%-519.3%-31.4%-6.3%—
Dividend Yield3.7%3.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +38.2%

Total return

+38.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.02 → -0.09

Residual

+34.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+3.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+34.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.