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KRSTL.IS$12.10+0.75%
Fair $12.10+0.0%

KRSTL.IS

Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S.

Consumer Defensive / Beverages - Non-AlcoholicIstanbul

$12.10

+0.09 (+0.75%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $12.10Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 71/B
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-33.4M · quality 49.0/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 18/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

71/100

B

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · KRSTL.ISLocal privado en este navegador · Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.3B

P/E

8.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.8x

↓

ROE

14.5%

↑

Gross Margin

13.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.06

↓
52-Week Range$12
$6$13

TradingView lightweight chart

KRSTL.IS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $12.10Periodo +19.2%
Fair value: $12.10

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+32.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.6%

FCF / Net income

-0.59x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.23B · net income $251.8M · FCF $-149.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

13.9%+10.5% pts

Operating margin

14.5%+12.9% pts

Net margin

7.8%+15.5% pts

FCF margin

-4.6%-1.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3.23B$3.23B$3.18B$2.39B$1.39B
Net Income$251.8M$251.8M$179.9M$-21.8M$-107.5M
EBITDA$495.0M$495.0M$399.1M$131.4M$-48.9M
EPS1.311.310.94-0.11-0.56
Gross Margin13.9%13.9%12.3%7.4%3.4%
Operating Margin14.5%14.5%15.6%6.9%1.6%
Net Margin7.8%7.8%5.7%-0.9%-7.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.060.060.01——
Current Ratio1.161.16———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-149.1M$-149.1M$82.8M$-33.4M$-49.9M
Returns
ROE14.5%14.5%15.0%-2.0%-14.1%
Valuation
P/E8.298.296.56——
EV/EBITDA4.854.852.7820.66—
P/B1.331.330.992.562.22
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth1.7%1.7%32.8%71.5%—
EPS Growth39.2%39.2%930.8%79.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-6.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.07

Spread vs growth

45.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-0.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.30

Spread vs growth

39.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

4.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$2.09

Spread vs growth

34.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +97.7%

Total return

+97.7%

Start / end P/E

6.5x → 9.2x

EPS bridge

0.94 → 1.31

Residual

+16.5%

EPS growth+39.2%
Multiple rerating+42.1%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+16.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.