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KTCC$3.97+14.74%
Fair $3.97+0.0%

KTCC

Key Tronic Corporation

Technology / Computer HardwareNasdaqGM

$3.97

+0.51 (+14.74%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.97Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 24%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $9.8M · quality 33.7/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 6/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 16Warnings: 2unknown: 16
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -7.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · KTCCLocal privado en este navegador · Key Tronic Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$43M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

15.1x

↑

ROE

-7.1%

↓

Gross Margin

7.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.96

↑
52-Week Range$4
$2$4

TradingView lightweight chart

KTCC price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.970Periodo -6.6%
Fair value: $3.970

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2010–2025 · 15 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.8%

FCF CAGR

+35.5%

FCF margin

3.2%

FCF / Net income

-1.78x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $467.9M · net income $-8.3M · FCF $14.8M

2010-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

7.8%-1.9% pts

Operating margin

0.1%-3.6% pts

Net margin

-1.8%-6.1% pts

FCF margin

3.2%+3.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
Income Statement
Revenue$467.9M$467.9M$566.9M$605.3M$544.2M$518.7M$449.5M—$446.3M$467.8M$485.0M$434.0M$305.4M$361.0M$346.5M$253.8M$199.6M
Net Income$-8.3M$-8.3M$-2.8M$5.2M$3.4M$4.3M$4.8M—$-1.3M$5.6M$6.5M$4.3M$7.6M$12.6M$11.6M$5.7M$8.7M
EBITDA$10.2M$10.2M$17.8M$25.9M$16.4M$16.4M$12.4M—$8.9M$16.8M$16.6M$12.6M$13.1M$21.1M$16.7M$9.2M$9.2M
EPS-0.77-0.77-0.070.470.310.390.44—-0.120.510.580.380.671.121.070.550.85
Gross Margin7.8%7.8%7.0%7.8%7.9%8.1%7.8%—7.7%8.2%8.0%7.7%8.8%9.6%8.6%8.1%9.6%
Operating Margin0.1%0.1%1.1%2.0%1.6%1.8%1.5%—0.2%2.0%2.1%1.5%3.0%5.0%4.1%2.7%3.7%
Net Margin-1.8%-1.8%-0.5%0.9%0.6%0.8%1.1%—-0.3%1.2%1.3%1.0%2.5%3.5%3.4%2.3%4.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.960.961.051.030.920.810.61—0.300.370.250.31—————
Current Ratio2.062.06———————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$14.8M$14.8M$9.8M$-21.1M$-11.7M$-25.7M$-39.6M—$-1.4M$-7.0M$-8.7M$-1.1M$-6.3M$25.8M$-9.7M$-6.4M$156000.00
Returns
ROE-7.1%-7.1%-2.2%3.9%2.7%3.5%4.1%—-1.1%4.8%6.2%4.3%7.3%13.4%14.8%8.4%14.6%
Valuation
P/E———11.6814.10————————————
EV/EBITDA15.0915.099.287.409.85————————————
P/B0.360.360.320.460.39————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-17.5%-17.5%-6.3%11.2%—15.4%——-4.6%-3.5%11.7%42.1%-15.4%4.2%36.5%27.2%—
EPS Growth-1000.0%-1000.0%-114.9%51.6%—-11.4%——-123.5%-12.1%52.6%-43.3%-40.2%4.7%94.5%-35.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +37.4%

Total return

+37.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.07 → -0.77

Residual

+37.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+37.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.