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v0.1
KZBGY.IS$3.15+0.96%
Fair $3.15+0.0%

KZBGY.IS

Kizilbük Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S.

Real Estate / REIT - Hotel & MotelIstanbul

$3.15

+0.03 (+0.96%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.15Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 39/D
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF n/d · quality 74.0/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 48/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

39/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled. ROE is 3.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · KZBGY.ISLocal privado en este navegador · Kizilbük Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$12.6B

P/E

15.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

4.8x

↓

ROE

3.9%

↓

Gross Margin

79.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.17

↓
52-Week Range$3
$3$5

TradingView lightweight chart

KZBGY.IS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.150Periodo +216.6%
Fair value: $3.150

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

+19.5%

FCF margin

47.8%

FCF / Net income

1.08x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.93B · net income $853.4M · FCF $924.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

79.7%— pts

Operating margin

58.9%— pts

Net margin

44.1%— pts

FCF margin

47.8%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.93B$1.93B$12.90B——
Net Income$853.4M$853.4M$9.52B$-2.74B$3.21B
EBITDA$3.38B$3.38B$12.94B$-2.73B$3.24B
EPS0.210.212.38-0.680.80
Gross Margin79.7%79.7%33.2%——
Operating Margin58.9%58.9%30.0%——
Net Margin44.1%44.1%73.8%——
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.170.170.080.010.01
Current Ratio1.801.80———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$924.2M$924.2M$-212.6M$988.2M$541.3M
Returns
ROE3.9%3.9%45.2%-24.9%33.1%
Valuation
P/E15.7515.750.88—2.39
EV/EBITDA4.844.840.77—2.26
P/B0.570.570.400.520.79
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-85.0%-85.0%———
EPS Growth-91.0%-91.0%448.0%-185.2%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

9.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.28

Spread vs growth

-100.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

9.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.34

Spread vs growth

-100.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

9.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.54

Spread vs growth

-100.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +1.9%

Total return

+1.9%

Start / end P/E

1.3x → 14.8x

EPS bridge

2.38 → 0.21

Residual

-944.5%

EPS growth-91.0%
Multiple rerating+1037.4%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-944.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.